akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·North Carolina

North Carolina 10th Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 38 points.

A reliably Republican district anchored by Gaston and Cleveland counties

18762024·38 elections
NC
Latest
R+38
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
785,367
2024 ACS

North Carolina 10th Congressional District, North Carolina: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+38%. Democratic peak: D+50 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+38MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
785,3672024 5-year
Median household income
$69,5122024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
76.2%2024 5-year
Black
10.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+50 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
HARRIGAN, PatCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: McHENRY, Patrick T. (2023–2025), McHENRY, Patrick T. (2021–2023), McHENRY, Patrick T. (2019–2021), McHENRY, Patrick T. (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

9 counties · 0 D · 9 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−38.0%
130,187292,631427,357
R
−37.5%
124,396276,942406,462
R
−38.6%
99,352231,604343,006
R
−29.5%
111,781207,135323,352
R
−25.5%
117,052198,268318,748
R
−32.7%
87,730173,407262,122
D
+29.3%
146,59179,824228,091
R
−17.2%
74,706109,135200,545
R
−12.7%
78,449105,689215,137
R
−29.3%
63,586116,471180,370
R
−36.9%
60,095130,504190,999
R
−10.1%
72,62889,469166,333
D
+10.7%
86,40869,662156,833
R
−44.6%
36,53497,401136,568
R
−22.7%
34,75968,072146,772
D
+4.6%
73,28966,856140,145
R
−7.5%
64,59675,017139,613
R
−14.3%
52,44369,939122,382
R
−10.0%
55,34967,714123,063
D
+7.5%
38,57832,53580,384
D
+20.6%
48,14331,71679,859
D
+37.7%
55,87825,30781,185
D
+37.0%
60,70427,93088,635
D
+28.7%
46,53525,72572,603
R
−16.3%
26,46236,79963,261
D
+13.6%
30,09722,84353,383
D
+6.9%
30,64826,67357,320
D
+11.0%
15,04012,05327,120
D
+50.2%
12,4171,43921,882
D
+5.5%
11,76610,53422,355
D
+14.6%
10,2697,60118,212
D
+7.0%
11,1499,66021,167
D
+23.0%
14,1138,80423,086
D
+19.6%
10,2496,23320,513
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R47.3%50.5%3,773,924
2020R46.9%48.7%5,474,952
2016R45.4%51.1%4,691,133
2014R47.3%48.8%2,915,281
2010R43.0%54.8%2,660,079
2008D52.7%44.2%4,271,970
2004R47.0%51.6%3,472,082
2002R45.0%53.6%2,331,181
1998D51.2%47.0%2,012,143
1996R45.9%52.6%2,556,456
1992R46.3%50.3%2,577,891
1990R47.4%52.5%2,069,585
1986D50.9%49.1%1,534,848
1984R47.8%51.7%2,239,051
1980R49.4%50.0%1,797,665
1978R45.5%54.5%1,135,814

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
13.2%
English
12.7%
German
12.5%
Irish
9.2%
Italian
2.9%
Scottish
2.3%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.7%
speak English only
Spanish6.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
25.1%
Methodist
9.3%
Other Christian
8.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.2%
Mainline Protestant
4.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

North Carolina's 10th stretches across the Piedmont foothills west of Charlotte, where a predominantly white, working-class electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins above 20 points in recent cycles.

The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in North Carolina 10th Congressional District, by a thirty-three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-five points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-eight points.

The political shift has tracked, in North Carolina 10th Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,512, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3710/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, North Carolina voted Republican by 38.0 points (R+38), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 427,357 votes cast, 130,187 went Democratic and 292,631 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, North Carolina as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 10, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, North Carolina?
Congressional District 10, North Carolina has a population of 785,367 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, North Carolina?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, North Carolina is $69,512 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.