HarrisDemocratic27.6%13,865TrumpRepublican71.2%35,822OtherAll other candidates1.2%606
R+43.7- Lead
- 21,957
- Total
- 50,293
- vs nation
- R+42.2
Akashicmetro area
Paducah, KY-IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
5 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic29.0%15,147TrumpRepublican69.6%36,342OtherAll other candidates1.4%745
R+40.6- Lead
- 21,195
- Total
- 52,234
- vs nation
- R+45.0
ClintonDemocratic26.0%12,827TrumpRepublican69.8%34,445OtherAll other candidates4.2%2,079
R+43.8- Lead
- 21,618
- Total
- 49,351
- vs nation
- R+45.9
ObamaDemocratic32.1%15,439RomneyRepublican66.2%31,828OtherAll other candidates1.7%804
R+34.1- Lead
- 16,389
- Total
- 48,071
- vs nation
- R+37.9
ObamaDemocratic36.4%17,906McCainRepublican62.1%30,540OtherAll other candidates1.6%764
R+25.7- Lead
- 12,634
- Total
- 49,210
- vs nation
- R+32.9
KerryDemocratic38.9%19,034BushRepublican60.5%29,594OtherAll other candidates0.7%321
R+21.6- Lead
- 10,560
- Total
- 48,949
- vs nation
- R+19.1
GoreDemocratic44.0%19,375BushRepublican54.0%23,768OtherAll other candidates2.0%883
R+10.0- Lead
- 4,393
- Total
- 44,026
- vs nation
- R+10.5
ClintonDemocratic51.5%21,349DoleRepublican38.2%15,866OtherAll other candidates10.3%4,267
D+13.2- Lead
- 5,483
- Total
- 41,482
- vs nation
- D+4.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 102,7482024 5-year
- Population density
- 83 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,236 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,0502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gadsden, AL · twin score 92.2
presidential history
Party record book
Paducah, KY-IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.6%
26,153 votes · D+47.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 71.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.2%
35,822 votes · R+43.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 69.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
26,153votes
73.6% of the vote · D+47.6
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 25,898 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
36,342votes
69.6% of the vote · R+40.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 35,822 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+40.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.0 · U.S. R+15.4
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +40.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+45.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +45.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 15,275 |
| 2018 (partial) | 11,107 |
| 2020 (partial) | 11,485 |
| 2022 (partial) | 11,444 |
| 2024 | 88,971 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+35 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −574 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +259 |
| 2012 | −385 |
| 2013 | −511 |
| 2014 | −83 |
| 2015 | −513 |
| 2016 | −16 |
| 2017 | +66 |
| 2018 | −275 |
| 2019 | −80 |
| 2021 | +49 |
| 2022 | +305 |
| 2023 | +343 |
| 2024 | +232 |
| 2025 | +35 |
Paducah's metro straddles the Kentucky-Illinois border where the Ohio and Tennessee rivers meet, giving it an unusual cross-state economic identity; McCracken County, its Kentucky core, has shifted toward double-digit Republican margins in presidential races over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.7 points.
A population of 102,748, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,050 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gadsden, AL and Forest City, NC.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Gadsden, AL
92.2twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated2012–2016 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Forest City, NC
88.9twin score
% Evangelicalelasticity% unaffiliated≠ English ancestry
Middlesborough, KY
88.7twin score
% unaffiliated2012–2016 trajectory% Catholic≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/37140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Paducah, KY-IL
Frequently asked questions
How did Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Republican by 43.7 points (R+43.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 50,293 votes cast, 13,865 went Democratic and 35,822 went Republican.
When did Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky has a population of 102,748 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Median household income in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky is $64,050 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.