Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Paducah, KY-IL
presidential margin
2008R+25.72012R+34.12016R+43.82020R+40.62024R+43.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+43.7
2024
median income$64,050U.S. $80,734 · KY $83,390
median age43.2U.S. 39.1
poverty rate15.7%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)24.7%U.S. 35.6%
non-english2.8%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English18.7%
German11.6%
American10.7%
African American†6.4%
African0.8%
Ethiopian0.3%
Mexican1.6%
Puerto Rican0.4%
religion
other traditions
Mainline7.1%
Black Protestant3.2%
Other Christian0.5%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky

Akashic
Paducah, KY-ILTrumpR+43.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Paducah, KY-IL, KYA map of the constituent counties of Paducah, KY-IL, KY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Massac County, IL · R+48.8Ballard County, KY · R+64.4Carlisle County, KY · R+68.0Livingston County, KY · R+63.1McCracken County, KY · R+34.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican71.2%35,822
Kamala HarrisDemocratic27.6%13,865
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.2%606
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (5 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Paducah, KY-IL, KY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Ballard County, KYRepublicanR+64.4
Carlisle County, KYRepublicanR+68.0
Livingston County, KYRepublicanR+63.1
Massac County, ILRepublicanR+48.8
McCracken County, KYRepublicanR+34.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
27.6%Harris13,865
71.2%Trump35,822
1.2%Kennedy606
−43.7%
50,293
R
29.0%Biden15,147
69.6%Trump36,342
1.4%Jorgensen745
−40.6%
52,234
R
26.0%Clinton12,827
69.8%Trump34,445
4.2%Johnson2,079
−43.8%
49,351
R
32.1%Obama15,439
66.2%Romney31,828
1.7%Johnson804
−34.1%
48,071
R
36.4%Obama17,906
62.1%McCain30,540
1.6%Nader764
−25.7%
49,210
R
38.9%Kerry19,034
60.5%Bush29,594
0.7%Nader321
−21.6%
48,949
R
44.0%Gore19,375
54.0%Bush23,768
2.0%Nader883
−10.0%
44,026
D
51.5%Clinton21,349
38.2%Dole15,866
10.3%Perot4,267
+13.2%
41,482
D
50.6%Clinton22,725
37.2%Bush16,702
12.3%Perot5,519
+13.4%
44,946
D
50.8%Dukakis21,077
48.3%Bush20,065
0.9%Duke366
+2.4%
41,508
R
48.9%Mondale21,015
50.2%Reagan21,567
1.0%Mason416
−1.3%
42,998
D
53.8%Carter22,598
43.8%Reagan18,400
2.3%Anderson978
+10.0%
41,976
D
66.1%Carter25,898
31.1%Ford12,185
2.8%Anderson1,105
+35.0%
39,188
R
37.9%McGovern12,746
59.3%Nixon19,957
2.8%Schmitz953
−21.4%
33,656
D
42.3%Humphrey15,723
31.2%Nixon11,587
26.5%Wallace9,869
+11.1%
37,179
D
73.6%Johnson26,153
26.0%Goldwater9,243
0.4%Hass127
+47.6%
35,523
D
54.2%Kennedy21,217
45.8%Nixon17,948
0.0%Byrd6
+8.3%
39,171
D
62.3%Stevenson23,408
37.4%Eisenhower14,034
0.3%Andrews103
+25.0%
37,545
D
62.3%Stevenson21,344
37.6%Eisenhower12,872
0.1%Hallinan37
+24.7%
34,253
D
69.8%Truman19,248
28.5%Dewey7,856
1.7%Thurmond480
+41.3%
27,584
D
64.6%Roosevelt19,192
34.8%Dewey10,348
0.6%Thomas179
+29.8%
29,719
D
67.0%Roosevelt21,966
32.7%Willkie10,718
0.4%Thomas120
+34.3%
32,804
D
69.0%Roosevelt21,166
30.3%Landon9,286
0.7%Lemke211
+38.7%
30,663
D
71.4%Roosevelt20,839
27.5%Hoover8,035
1.0%Thomas299
+43.9%
29,173
R
47.3%Smith12,883
52.4%Hoover14,267
0.3%Thomas77
−5.1%
27,227
D
52.9%Davis14,094
40.2%Coolidge10,707
7.0%La Follette1,856
+12.7%
26,657
D
55.9%Cox17,792
42.1%Harding13,401
2.0%Debs622
+13.8%
31,815
D
52.5%Wilson10,747
44.4%Hughes9,093
3.0%Benson622
+8.1%
20,462
D
50.5%Wilson7,671
28.1%Taft4,267
21.3%Roosevelt3,238
+22.4%
15,176
D
55.4%Bryan9,704
41.3%Taft7,235
3.3%Debs574
+14.1%
17,513
D
52.6%Parker7,706
43.3%Roosevelt6,353
4.1%Debs602
+9.2%
14,661
D
55.9%Bryan8,795
42.4%McKinley6,672
1.7%Woolley272
+13.5%
15,739
D
56.9%Bryan8,464
41.0%McKinley6,087
2.1%Palmer313
+16.0%
14,864
D
49.1%Cleveland5,183
36.9%Harrison3,897
13.9%Weaver1,467
+12.2%
10,547
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −43.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−43.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+12.2%
1896+16.0%
1900+13.5%
1904+9.2%
1908+14.1%
1912+22.4%
1916+8.1%
1920+13.8%
1924+12.7%
1928−5.1%
1932+43.9%
1936+38.7%
1940+34.3%
1944+29.8%
1948+41.3%
1952+24.7%
1956+25.0%
1960+8.3%
1964+47.6%
1968+11.1%
1972−21.4%
1976+35.0%
1980+10.0%
1984−1.3%
1988+2.4%
1992+13.4%
1996+13.2%
2000−10.0%
2004−21.6%
2008−25.7%
2012−34.1%
2016−43.8%
2020−40.6%
2024−43.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Paducah, KY-ILTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 88,971 in 2024.22.2K44.5K66.7K89K89K20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Paducah, KY-IL
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)15,275
2018 (partial)11,107
2020 (partial)11,485
2022 (partial)11,444
202488,971
Source: State election authorities

Paducah's metro straddles the Kentucky-Illinois border where the Ohio and Tennessee rivers meet, giving it an unusual cross-state economic identity; McCracken County, its Kentucky core, has shifted toward double-digit Republican margins in presidential races over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.7 points.

A population of 102,748, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,050 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gadsden, AL and Forest City, NC.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Gadsden, AL
92.2twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated2012–2016 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Forest City, NC
88.9twin score
% Evangelicalelasticity% unaffiliated≠ English ancestry
Middlesborough, KY
88.7twin score
% unaffiliated2012–2016 trajectory% Catholic≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/37140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Paducah, KY-IL

counties5
Ballard CountyCarlisle CountyLivingston CountyMassac CountyMcCracken County

Frequently asked questions

How did Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Republican by 43.7 points (R+43.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 50,293 votes cast, 13,865 went Democratic and 35,822 went Republican.
When did Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky has a population of 102,748 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Median household income in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky is $64,050 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.