akashic
1876–2024
Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL·Kentucky

Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL has voted Republican in seven straight presidential elections — R+48.1 in 2024.

20082024·5 elections
KY
Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL
TrumpR+48.1
2024 presidential margin by county for Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, KYA map of the constituent counties of Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, KY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Massac County, IL · R+48.8Carlisle County, KY · R+68.0McCracken County, KY · R+34.9Graves County, KY · R+61.6Ballard County, KY · R+64.4Livingston County, KY · R+63.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican73.5%49,200
Kamala HarrisDemocratic25.3%16,970
OtherAll other candidates1.2%801
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −48.1% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−48.1%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+18.8%
1896+25.5%
1900+21.2%
1904+21.8%
1908+23.2%
1912+30.6%
1916+17.7%
1920+22.9%
1924+23.0%
1928+4.4%
1932+51.0%
1936+46.5%
1940+42.3%
1944+36.9%
1948+49.2%
1952+32.4%
1956+30.7%
1960+11.8%
1964+51.1%
1968+12.1%
1972−22.0%
1976+37.8%
1980+8.3%
1984−1.9%
1988+3.4%
1992+14.5%
1996+13.3%
2000−10.5%
2004−21.9%
2008−25.8%
2012−35.5%
2016−47.0%
2020−44.5%
2024−48.1%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−48.1%
16,97049,20066,971
R
−44.5%
18,70749,54869,253
R
−47.0%
16,13547,11665,957
R
−35.5%
19,98642,52763,574
R
−25.8%
23,74940,59665,365
R
−21.9%
25,24039,49765,178
R
−10.5%
25,47231,61758,257
D
+13.3%
28,34020,99655,285
D
+14.5%
30,72622,01360,287
D
+3.4%
28,23026,33955,053
R
−1.9%
27,77428,85457,168
D
+8.3%
29,59724,95655,792
D
+37.8%
34,88015,38051,608
R
−22.0%
16,44726,05543,756
D
+12.1%
20,82614,82649,392
D
+51.1%
36,11111,63247,913
D
+11.8%
28,90622,80251,714
D
+30.7%
33,49817,74551,360
D
+32.4%
30,93615,79746,783
D
+49.2%
27,9309,29837,860
D
+36.9%
27,24912,52039,957
D
+42.3%
31,75212,84044,739
D
+46.5%
30,39710,97841,728
D
+51.0%
30,7279,86040,937
D
+4.4%
19,12017,49036,711
D
+23.0%
21,36012,98636,470
D
+22.9%
26,81016,64244,315
D
+17.7%
15,94411,02327,737
D
+30.6%
11,5095,12920,833
D
+23.2%
14,6568,97924,456
D
+21.8%
12,6417,96821,419
D
+21.2%
13,5548,74522,707
D
+25.5%
13,1637,71521,338
D
+18.8%
7,7464,92515,026
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorPaducah-Mayfield, KY-ILCombined statistical areaUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White85.1%61.0%
Black6.8%12.2%
Asian0.6%6.0%
Two or more races5.8%12.6%
Other race1.7%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino4.4%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$60,560$84,427
Poverty rate16.8%12.5%
Median age42.439.1
Age 18–247.3%9.2%
Age 65 and older20.3%17.2%
Education & Language
Speaks a non-English language at home3.7%22.3%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryEnglish 18.4%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryAmerican 12.1%English 9.5%
3rd-largest ancestryGerman 10.2%Irish 9.4%
Religion
Catholic5.2%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant58.8%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed25.4%51.5%
Mainline Protestant6.4%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
18.4%
American
12.1%
German
10.2%
Irish
8.5%
Scottish
1.6%
Italian
1.5%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.3%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Evangelical Protestant
58.8%
Mainline Protestant
6.4%
Catholic
5.2%
Black Protestant
3.0%
Latter-day Saints
0.6%
Other Christian
0.5%
Muslim
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted25.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.1 points.

A population of 139,378, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,560 describe the region.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/424/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Republican by 48.1 points (R+48.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 66,971 votes cast, 16,970 went Democratic and 49,200 went Republican.
What is Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky's political typology?
Akashic places Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the region has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky has a population of 139,378 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Median household income in Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky is $60,560 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Paducah-Mayfield, KY-IL, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The region's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.