- Lead
- 26,675
- Total
- 56,709
- vs nation
- D+48.5
Tennessee 30th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 33,733
- Total
- 71,006
- vs nation
- D+43.1
- Lead
- 26,609
- Total
- 62,942
- vs nation
- D+40.2
- Lead
- 28,677
- Total
- 69,260
- vs nation
- D+37.5
- Lead
- 32,250
- Total
- 75,343
- vs nation
- D+35.5
- Lead
- 22,106
- Total
- 68,832
- vs nation
- D+34.6
- Lead
- 18,978
- Total
- 61,553
- vs nation
- D+30.3
- Lead
- 17,553
- Total
- 59,466
- vs nation
- D+21.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+47.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 203,1752024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,618 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 77.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,4352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 57.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 15, LA · twin score 97.4
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 30th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
98.0%
12,802 votes · D+96.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 92.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
57.0%
23,748 votes · R+16.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 46.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
53,582votes
71.1% of the vote · D+42.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 51,759 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
24,943votes
41.7% of the vote · D+16.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 23,748 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+89.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.8 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +79.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+0.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+22.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · −6.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 63.2%51,435 | 36.8%29,889 | 81,324 |
Tennessee 30th State Senate District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 16.4 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 47.0 points.
A population of 203,175, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,435 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 15 and State Senate District 20.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 30th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.