Arkansas 15th State Senate District, Arkansas: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+22%. Democratic peak: D+79 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 28,4062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 36.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 15, AROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 6,539 | 4,119 | 10,936 | ||
| D | 7,243 | 4,525 | 12,075 | ||
| D | 6,364 | 4,352 | 11,024 | ||
| D | 6,199 | 4,901 | 11,324 | ||
| D | 6,313 | 4,988 | 11,463 | ||
| D | 6,006 | 4,824 | 10,914 | ||
| D | 4,854 | 3,969 | 9,034 | ||
| D | 5,335 | 3,182 | 9,075 | ||
| D | 5,647 | 3,395 | 9,730 | ||
| R | 3,968 | 5,013 | 9,118 | ||
| R | 3,853 | 5,517 | 9,479 | ||
| D | 3,896 | 3,703 | 8,024 | ||
| D | 4,514 | 2,678 | 7,210 | ||
| R | 2,388 | 4,091 | 6,499 | ||
| D | 1,961 | 1,898 | 5,694 | ||
| D | 2,880 | 2,722 | 5,633 | ||
| D | 1,850 | 1,573 | 3,964 | ||
| R | 1,661 | 1,826 | 3,574 | ||
| D | 1,737 | 1,667 | 3,431 | ||
| D | 932 | 420 | 1,751 | ||
| D | 1,170 | 431 | 1,605 | ||
| D | 1,010 | 210 | 1,224 | ||
| D | 816 | 94 | 912 | ||
| D | 998 | 162 | 1,168 | ||
| D | 655 | 347 | 1,003 | ||
| D | 405 | 194 | 684 | ||
| D | 462 | 264 | 737 | ||
| D | 427 | 184 | 611 | ||
| D | 239 | 74 | 442 | ||
| D | 277 | 251 | 550 | ||
| D | 220 | 174 | 410 | ||
| D | 185 | 137 | 328 | ||
| D | 215 | 125 | 348 | ||
| D | 241 | 177 | 453 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.0%
German
7.8%
Irish
7.3%
American
5.6%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.4%
Italian
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,873
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$62,873
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.6%
Working age (18–64)14.7%
Seniors (65+)9.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.2%
speak English only
Spanish6.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+31.7, this west-central Arkansas district has moved decisively toward the Republican column over the past decade, reflecting broader rural realignment across the state's river and hill counties.
The Democratic margin in Arkansas 15th State Senate District reached its widest at seventy-nine points in 1936. The margin in 2024 was twenty-two points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $62,873, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 28,406 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 15, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Arkansas voted Democratic by 22.1 points (D+22), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 10,936 votes cast, 6,539 went Democratic and 4,119 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Arkansas as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 30 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Arkansas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Arkansas voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Arkansas?
State Senate District 15, Arkansas has a population of 28,406 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Arkansas?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Arkansas is $62,873 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.