- Lead
- 12,133
- Total
- 25,596
- vs nation
- D+48.9
Arkansas 12th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,619
- Total
- 29,995
- vs nation
- D+44.3
- Lead
- 13,556
- Total
- 28,879
- vs nation
- D+44.9
- Lead
- 12,257
- Total
- 28,910
- vs nation
- D+38.5
- Lead
- 12,431
- Total
- 29,316
- vs nation
- D+35.1
- Lead
- 11,739
- Total
- 27,938
- vs nation
- D+44.5
- Lead
- 9,211
- Total
- 23,012
- vs nation
- D+39.5
- Lead
- 12,052
- Total
- 24,060
- vs nation
- D+41.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+47.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 88,1222024 5-year
- Population density
- 468 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 188 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $43,0082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 54.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 15, AR · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 12th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
95.7%
2,641 votes · D+91.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 93.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
47.1%
6,937 votes · D+5.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 47.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
21,890votes
73.0% of the vote · D+48.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 20,870 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
9,198votes
41.8% of the vote · D+15.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 8,377 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+86.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+61.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +83.7 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
−10.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+33.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · −27.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Arkansas 12th State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.4 points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.4 points.
A population of 88,122, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,008 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 15 and State Senate District 28.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 12th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.