- Lead
- 8,775
- Total
- 22,341
- vs nation
- R+37.8
Mississippi 31st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,243
- Total
- 24,100
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Lead
- 7,824
- Total
- 22,733
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Lead
- 6,388
- Total
- 23,886
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Lead
- 7,281
- Total
- 24,525
- vs nation
- R+37.0
- Lead
- 8,868
- Total
- 21,624
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Lead
- 7,490
- Total
- 19,412
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Lead
- 4,620
- Total
- 16,764
- vs nation
- R+36.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 55,1902024 5-year
- Population density
- 43 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,280 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,7652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 30.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.4 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+91.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 41, MS · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
98.3%
4,838 votes · D+96.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 98.2%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
95.6%
10,998 votes · R+91.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 85.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
8,672votes
36.3% of the vote · R+26.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 8,558 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
16,031votes
66.5% of the vote · R+34.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 15,839 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+114.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+94.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +108.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+113.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+91.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +50.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 33 points, this district of roughly 55,000 residents sits firmly in Mississippi's Republican column, leaving little competitive ground for statewide or legislative challengers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.4 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 91.2 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.3 points.
A population of 55,190, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,765 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 41 and State Senate District 18.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/28031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.