akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 30·Michigan

Michigan 30th State Senate District delivered R+3 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Michigan's most reliably red legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
239,015
2024 ACS

Michigan 30th State Senate District, Michigan: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
239,0152024 5-year
Median household income
$85,1392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
76.2%2024 5-year
Black
7.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+64 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.2%
64,92769,253136,721
R
−2.8%
62,50866,219131,325
R
−11.8%
45,42958,759112,721
R
−16.1%
43,56860,585105,818
R
−7.2%
49,66657,498108,924
R
−26.6%
37,69965,318103,964
R
−28.5%
30,92356,39489,438
R
−22.0%
27,93145,33278,983
R
−20.1%
25,82042,68983,893
R
−35.3%
22,78747,94871,208
R
−41.6%
20,05948,95469,430
R
−25.9%
22,53740,60369,746
R
−39.5%
18,63143,58063,106
R
−27.3%
20,42136,21357,900
R
−21.6%
18,34229,50751,732
D
+7.8%
26,42622,61049,120
R
−28.2%
17,74131,71049,608
R
−35.8%
14,39330,55645,140
R
−29.6%
13,57725,20539,263
R
−14.4%
12,83217,23330,651
R
−15.4%
12,87817,61930,861
R
−9.0%
14,15016,95731,334
D
+6.1%
13,42911,80626,422
R
−4.4%
12,23413,41326,531
R
−55.0%
5,11517,79123,054
R
−63.7%
2,43314,05718,253
R
−47.8%
4,23012,68217,667
D
+5.6%
5,9975,33911,776
O
+7.7%
2,8262,05710,052
R
−21.8%
3,4255,4979,496
R
−50.4%
1,9726,4688,927
R
−15.5%
4,1545,73210,169
R
−12.7%
4,2335,5009,967
R
−4.5%
3,5903,9638,382
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.5%
English
9.8%
Irish
8.9%
Polish
6.0%
Italian
3.0%
American
3.0%
French
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.5%
speak English only
Spanish6.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.6%
Mainline Protestant
12.7%
Other Christian
9.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Methodist
1.5%
Baptist
1.4%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan's 30th Senate District backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by 25.4 points, a margin that reflects its largely rural, small-town character and positions it among the state's most consistently conservative constituencies.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eight points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty-four points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 239,015, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $85,139 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 30, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 30, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 30, Michigan voted Republican by 3.2 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 136,721 votes cast, 64,927 went Democratic and 69,253 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 30, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 30, Michigan as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 30 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 30, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 30, Michigan voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in State Senate District 30, Michigan?
State Senate District 30, Michigan has a population of 239,015 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 30, Michigan?
Median household income in State Senate District 30, Michigan is $85,139 — above the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of State Senate District 30, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 30, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.