- Lead
- 33,307
- Total
- 128,266
- vs nation
- D+27.4
Michigan 29th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 35,269
- Total
- 127,984
- vs nation
- D+23.1
- Lead
- 20,818
- Total
- 112,131
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Lead
- 16,182
- Total
- 105,077
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Lead
- 25,856
- Total
- 110,801
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 4,570
- Total
- 101,260
- vs nation
- D+7.0
- Lead
- 1,298
- Total
- 86,600
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Lead
- 4,651
- Total
- 78,054
- vs nation
- R+2.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 263,7802024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,466 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 76.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,8572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.0 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 52, IL · twin score 86.9
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 29th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.6%
39,023 votes · D+35.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 65.1%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
68.9%
12,604 votes · R+49.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 65.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
80,339votes
62.8% of the vote · D+27.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 79,608 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
47,829votes
47.2% of the vote · D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 46,301 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+30.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.6 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +27.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+41.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +23.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 53.1%75,193 | 46.9%66,439 | 141,632 |
| 2020 | D | 50.0%70,325 | 50.0%70,302 | 140,627 |
Covering a largely rural and small-city swath of the state, this district backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by nearly 17 points, placing it well to the right of Michigan's statewide competitive average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.0 points.
A population of 263,780, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,857 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 52 and State Senate District 25.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 29th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.