- Lead
- 50,160
- Total
- 112,778
- vs nation
- D+45.9
Michigan 3rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 63,645
- Total
- 113,687
- vs nation
- D+51.5
- Lead
- 59,242
- Total
- 103,320
- vs nation
- D+55.2
- Lead
- 70,698
- Total
- 110,187
- vs nation
- D+60.3
- Lead
- 80,386
- Total
- 118,721
- vs nation
- D+60.4
- Lead
- 68,110
- Total
- 109,519
- vs nation
- D+64.6
- Lead
- 60,817
- Total
- 97,437
- vs nation
- D+61.9
- Lead
- 59,078
- Total
- 92,290
- vs nation
- D+55.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 266,9522024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,057 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 65.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,5962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 42.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 10, MI · twin score 95.6
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 3rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
92.7%
105,130 votes · D+85.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · 91.3%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
45.3%
4,117 votes · R+14.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 32.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
105,130votes
92.7% of the vote · D+85.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 98,787 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
29,431votes
26.1% of the vote · D+44.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 24,316 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+88.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+73.3 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · +86.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+14.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · −10.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.2%77,901 | 39.8%51,582 | 129,483 |
| 2020 | D | 62.1%57,600 | 37.9%35,118 | 92,718 |
Covering a largely rural stretch of the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, this district delivered a 19.8-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting the region's long shift away from its union-heavy industrial past.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 21.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.5 points.
A population of 266,952, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,596 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 10 and State Senate District 3.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 3rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.