- Lead
- 28,154
- Total
- 127,975
- vs nation
- D+23.5
Michigan 10th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 38,394
- Total
- 128,758
- vs nation
- D+25.4
- Lead
- 36,230
- Total
- 116,232
- vs nation
- D+29.1
- Lead
- 53,753
- Total
- 120,448
- vs nation
- D+40.8
- Lead
- 62,352
- Total
- 128,022
- vs nation
- D+41.4
- Lead
- 49,988
- Total
- 119,273
- vs nation
- D+44.4
- Lead
- 46,307
- Total
- 104,338
- vs nation
- D+43.9
- Lead
- 47,108
- Total
- 96,202
- vs nation
- D+40.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 269,4352024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,461 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 60.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,5932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 46.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 43.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 3, MI · twin score 95.6
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 10th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
91.1%
87,672 votes · D+82.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 90.6%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
44.1%
2,877 votes · R+7.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 38.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
94,236votes
73.6% of the vote · D+48.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 87,672 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
48,423votes
37.8% of the vote · D+22.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 44,376 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1952
+83.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+72.9 · U.S. R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +83.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+28.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · −17.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 51.0%69,307 | 49.0%66,498 | 135,805 |
| 2020 | D | 53.1%59,758 | 46.9%52,703 | 112,461 |
Michigan 10th State Senate District sits in the Great Lakes. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 34.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.0 points.
A population of 269,435, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,593 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 3 and State Senate District 3.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 10th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.