- Lead
- 1,335
- Total
- 155,157
- vs nation
- D+0.6
Michigan 4th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,483
- Total
- 152,688
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Lead
- 2,917
- Total
- 130,647
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Lead
- 16,395
- Total
- 130,686
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Lead
- 22,634
- Total
- 140,392
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Lead
- 4,907
- Total
- 143,018
- vs nation
- D+5.9
- Lead
- 5,655
- Total
- 125,722
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Lead
- 15,541
- Total
- 118,468
- vs nation
- D+4.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 270,2022024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,192 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 227 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,1202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+83.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 11, MI · twin score 87.8
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.4%
101,486 votes · D+19.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.4%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
86.6%
71,120 votes · R+83.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 84.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
101,486votes
59.4% of the vote · D+19.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 94,261 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
127,441votes
61.0% of the vote · R+22.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 120,516 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+8.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.1 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +8.7 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+58.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+83.1 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +56.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 68.3%81,836 | 31.7%38,009 | 119,845 |
Michigan 4th State Senate District sits in the Great Lakes. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 83.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.9 points.
A population of 270,202, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,120 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 11 and State Senate District 4.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.