- Lead
- 47,419
- Total
- 74,932
- vs nation
- D+64.8
Maryland 16th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 50,877
- Total
- 76,961
- vs nation
- D+61.7
- Lead
- 41,583
- Total
- 67,457
- vs nation
- D+59.6
- Lead
- 32,630
- Total
- 64,868
- vs nation
- D+46.4
- Lead
- 31,917
- Total
- 62,290
- vs nation
- D+44.0
- Lead
- 23,719
- Total
- 58,340
- vs nation
- D+43.1
- Lead
- 19,007
- Total
- 52,253
- vs nation
- D+35.9
- Lead
- 14,905
- Total
- 46,938
- vs nation
- D+23.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+63.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 132,9732024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,427 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 38.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $188,5112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16.8 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 28, NY · twin score 94.5
presidential history
Party record book
Maryland 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
81.9%
63,047 votes · D+66.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 80.2%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
58.1%
5,927 votes · R+16.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · 55.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63,047votes
81.9% of the vote · D+66.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 60,074 votes
Republican
George H. W. Bush1988
19,220votes
43.7% of the vote · D+12.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 18,267 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+64.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+63.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +61.7 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+18.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+13.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +13.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 63 points in favor of Democrats, this district anchors a deeply blue corridor where competitive general elections are rare and primary outcomes typically determine representation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 16.8 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.3 points.
A population of 132,973, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $188,511 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 28 and Norfolk and Middlesex District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maryland 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/24016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.