- Lead
- 15,467
- Total
- 32,789
- vs nation
- R+45.7
Tennessee 78th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,184
- Total
- 31,836
- vs nation
- R+49.0
- Lead
- 11,416
- Total
- 24,837
- vs nation
- R+48.1
- Lead
- 7,956
- Total
- 23,708
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Lead
- 7,091
- Total
- 25,810
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Lead
- 4,622
- Total
- 24,897
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Lead
- 375
- Total
- 20,043
- vs nation
- D+1.4
- Lead
- 1,735
- Total
- 16,677
- vs nation
- D+1.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,4452024 5-year
- Population density
- 134 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 497 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,2762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.1 in 1948MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 49, KY · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
86.3%
2,358 votes · D+73.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 85.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.9%
23,907 votes · R+47.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
10,059votes
50.2% of the vote · D+1.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 10,054 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,907votes
72.9% of the vote · R+47.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 22,726 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+82.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +72.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+49.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +48.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.2%8,228 | 72.8%22,020 | 30,248 |
Its Republican presidential margin was R+47.2 in 2024 and R+27.5 in 2008. About 64,100 residents lived here, with White alone at 89.6% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.1 points in 1948 and a Republican high of 47.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.2 points.
A population of 66,445, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,276 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 49 and State House District 26.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.