- Lead
- 7,419
- Total
- 24,632
- vs nation
- D+31.6
Pennsylvania 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,582
- Total
- 24,567
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Lead
- 8,941
- Total
- 23,415
- vs nation
- D+36.1
- Lead
- 8,677
- Total
- 21,532
- vs nation
- D+36.4
- Lead
- 10,940
- Total
- 23,256
- vs nation
- D+39.8
- Lead
- 5,756
- Total
- 19,503
- vs nation
- D+32.0
- Lead
- 3,815
- Total
- 15,185
- vs nation
- D+24.6
- Lead
- 3,926
- Total
- 13,816
- vs nation
- D+19.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+30.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 62,6172024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,641 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 11.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,2382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 38.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+10.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 95, PA · twin score 93.4
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
78.3%
8,927 votes · D+56.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 75.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
55.1%
2,607 votes · R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 47.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,907votes
72.7% of the vote · D+47.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 16,298 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,512votes
34.6% of the vote · D+30.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,716 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+39.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.0 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +36.4 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
−6.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+10.8 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −9.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in suburban Pennsylvania, this district has trended toward competitive territory as demographic shifts reshape its electorate, making it a reliable bellwether for broader regional patterns in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 10.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.1 points.
A population of 62,617, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,238 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 95 and State House District 4.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.