- Lead
- 5,366
- Total
- 22,528
- vs nation
- D+25.3
Pennsylvania 95th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,315
- Total
- 23,167
- vs nation
- D+22.8
- Lead
- 6,461
- Total
- 22,450
- vs nation
- D+26.7
- Lead
- 8,195
- Total
- 22,118
- vs nation
- D+33.2
- Lead
- 10,400
- Total
- 23,760
- vs nation
- D+36.5
- Lead
- 6,080
- Total
- 19,372
- vs nation
- D+33.8
- Lead
- 5,526
- Total
- 16,318
- vs nation
- D+33.3
- Lead
- 6,474
- Total
- 15,354
- vs nation
- D+33.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+23.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 65,7772024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,099 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,6732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 45.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 29.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.2 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+3.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 49, PA · twin score 93.4
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 95th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
89.1%
2,257 votes · D+78.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 87.5%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
51.6%
2,513 votes · R+3.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 38.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,698votes
70.3% of the vote · D+43.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 14,774 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,466votes
37.6% of the vote · D+23.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,259 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+74.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.6 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +73.8 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
−13.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+3.7 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −22.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 44.0%5,897 | 56.0%7,496 | 13,393 |
Pennsylvania House District 95 sits at the competitive edge of statewide margins, with a 2024 presidential result of R+1.8 reflecting a district that has trended steadily rightward over the past decade while remaining winnable for either party.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.2 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 3.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.8 points.
A population of 65,777, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,673 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 49 and State House District 104.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 95th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.