HarrisDemocratic37.4%13,770TrumpRepublican62.0%22,865OtherAll other candidates0.6%220
R+24.7- Lead
- 9,095
- Total
- 36,855
- vs nation
- R+23.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Pennsylvania 48th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic38.9%14,187TrumpRepublican60.0%21,882OtherAll other candidates1.1%392
R+21.1- Lead
- 7,695
- Total
- 36,461
- vs nation
- R+25.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic36.6%11,506TrumpRepublican59.3%18,665OtherAll other candidates4.1%1,288
R+22.8- Lead
- 7,159
- Total
- 31,459
- vs nation
- R+24.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.9%12,835RomneyRepublican55.3%16,170OtherAll other candidates0.8%239
R+11.4- Lead
- 3,335
- Total
- 29,244
- vs nation
- R+15.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic48.2%14,610McCainRepublican50.9%15,414OtherAll other candidates0.9%286
R+2.7- Lead
- 804
- Total
- 30,310
- vs nation
- R+9.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic51.2%15,271BushRepublican48.6%14,477OtherAll other candidates0.2%63
D+2.7- Lead
- 794
- Total
- 29,811
- vs nation
- D+5.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic54.3%14,224BushRepublican43.3%11,348OtherAll other candidates2.4%634
D+11.0- Lead
- 2,876
- Total
- 26,206
- vs nation
- D+10.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic54.3%13,014DoleRepublican35.3%8,464OtherAll other candidates10.4%2,489
D+19.0- Lead
- 4,550
- Total
- 23,967
- vs nation
- D+10.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 65,6982024 5-year
- Population density
- 211 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 311 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,1372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 15, PA · twin score 92.9
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.1%
20,080 votes · D+46.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 69.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
66.3%
3,480 votes · R+36.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 62.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
20,080votes
73.1% of the vote · D+46.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · 17,597 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,865votes
62.0% of the vote · R+24.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,882 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+39.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.9 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +34.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+25.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +24.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTim O'NealState House · 48
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+24.7, this district sits well outside Pennsylvania's competitive middle, reflecting the rural or exurban character that has driven consistent right-of-center margins in recent election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.7 points.
A population of 65,698, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,137 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 15 and State House District 58.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 15
Pennsylvania
92.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryItalian ancestry
State House District 58
Pennsylvania
92.8twin score
median age2020–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
State House District 117
Pennsylvania
92.1twin score
median ageelasticityItalian ancestry≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pennsylvania 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Pennsylvania 48th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Pennsylvania 48th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania 48th State House District voted Republican by 24.7 points (R+24.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 36,855 votes cast, 13,770 went Democratic and 22,865 went Republican.
When did Pennsylvania 48th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pennsylvania 48th State House District voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Pennsylvania 48th State House District?
Pennsylvania 48th State House District has a population of 65,698 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 48th State House District?
Median household income in Pennsylvania 48th State House District is $73,137 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania 48th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 48th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.