akashic
1876–2024
State House District 15·Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania 15th State House District changed direction in the last decade — R+23 in 2024.

One of Pennsylvania's most Republican-leaning legislative seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+23
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
150,858
2024 ACS

Pennsylvania 15th State House District, Pennsylvania: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted R+23%. Republican peak: R+47 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+23MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
150,8582024 5-year
Median household income
$74,7842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.4%2024 5-year
Black
4.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+45 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+47 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−22.9%
33,04252,95286,929
R
−20.1%
33,54750,65585,240
R
−21.3%
27,90143,87675,126
R
−9.7%
31,43438,32470,902
R
−3.7%
35,03937,75473,715
D
+1.7%
36,54135,28272,148
D
+8.9%
33,89128,22463,911
D
+17.7%
32,85321,90061,956
D
+28.6%
37,15317,68968,067
D
+29.0%
40,24122,05862,608
D
+23.1%
43,51827,15170,895
D
+16.3%
36,42325,64366,036
D
+17.3%
38,82027,23367,119
R
−13.2%
26,91935,35763,804
D
+21.9%
37,96323,04968,120
D
+44.6%
50,51319,28670,006
D
+14.2%
40,82030,63671,598
D
+3.0%
33,70531,71865,495
D
+15.0%
37,14127,40664,799
D
+17.3%
28,43619,79949,856
D
+20.4%
31,27520,64652,226
D
+21.5%
33,31221,49255,039
D
+33.5%
35,73317,60254,080
D
+6.8%
19,28716,73537,569
R
−34.7%
11,49323,93535,838
R
−47.2%
3,81115,59324,987
R
−34.8%
5,27211,86918,933
R
−10.3%
5,4066,79913,459
O
+4.5%
3,3372,77712,369
R
−22.1%
4,3887,22712,872
R
−41.8%
2,7757,31510,866
R
−23.4%
4,1136,76211,319
R
−20.1%
4,5706,93311,777
R
−9.4%
4,1485,0719,825
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.9%
Irish
16.9%
Italian
16.2%
English
10.6%
Polish
6.9%
American
3.0%
Scottish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.8%
2.9%
75–84
3.6%
6.3%
65–74
6.9%
7.4%
55–64
7.7%
6.0%
45–54
6.0%
6.2%
35–44
6.0%
5.9%
25–34
5.7%
3.8%
18–24
3.6%
7.4%
5–17
7.2%
2.6%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,784
State House District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 15$74,784
Pennsylvania$77,971
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.5%
Working age (18–64)8.8%
Seniors (65+)9.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.5%
Spanish1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.0%
Other Christian
7.7%
Mainline Protestant
4.8%
Methodist
4.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Baptist
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+47.9, this district ranks among the most heavily Republican in the state, reflecting the rural, small-town demographic patterns common to its region of Pennsylvania.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Republican candidate carried the district by four points. The 2024 margin was twenty-three points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 150,858, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,784 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 15, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 22.9 points (R+23), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 86,929 votes cast, 33,042 went Democratic and 52,952 went Republican.
What is State House District 15, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15, Pennsylvania as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 15, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in State House District 15, Pennsylvania?
State House District 15, Pennsylvania has a population of 150,858 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in State House District 15, Pennsylvania is $74,784 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of State House District 15, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.