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Akashic

state house district

Pennsylvania 16th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German24.9%21.6%12.5%

Irish16.4%14.8%9.4%

Italian15.2%10.6%4.8%

English9.2%8.3%9.5%

Polish5.5%5.4%2.2%

American2.9%4.4%5.3%

Scottish2.0%1.1%1.3%

Slovak2.0%0.8%—

African American†10.6%8.7%9.9%

Mexican1.1%1.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.7%3.7%1.8%

Spanish0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	PA HD 16	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	43.8	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.1%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.6%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	PA HD 16	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$63,543	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	11.6%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	28.7%	35.2%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	PA HD 16	Pennsylvania	United States
Owner-occupied homes	69.0%	69.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	31.0%	30.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$165,400	$254,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$901	$1,209	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	44.2%	48.2%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	11.0%	9.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	PA HD 16	Pennsylvania	United States
Mean commute	24.8 min	26.3 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	7.2%	8.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	74.1%	68.2%	68.8%
Takes public transit	1.6%	3.6%	3.2%
Works from home	14.0%	15.6%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	PA HD 16	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.3%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	1.4%	5.6%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	PA HD 16	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	—	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	53.1%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	PA HD 16	Pennsylvania	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.9%	7.7%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.8%	4.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.0%	3.4%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.0%	6.1%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.436	0.474	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic45.8%16,058TrumpRepublican53.3%18,669OtherAll other candidates0.9%321

R+7.4

Lead: 2,611
Total: 35,048
vs nation: R+6.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic47.5%16,693TrumpRepublican51.1%17,950OtherAll other candidates1.4%505

R+3.6

Lead: 1,257
Total: 35,148
vs nation: R+8.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic45.8%14,437TrumpRepublican50.3%15,856OtherAll other candidates3.9%1,241

R+4.5

Lead: 1,419
Total: 31,534
vs nation: R+6.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic53.5%16,442RomneyRepublican45.2%13,895OtherAll other candidates1.2%377

D+8.3

Lead: 2,547
Total: 30,714
vs nation: D+4.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic55.2%17,948McCainRepublican43.4%14,125OtherAll other candidates1.4%467

D+11.7

Lead: 3,823
Total: 32,540
vs nation: D+4.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic58.5%18,682BushRepublican41.0%13,078OtherAll other candidates0.5%157

D+17.6

Lead: 5,604
Total: 31,917
vs nation: D+20.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic60.2%17,300BushRepublican37.2%10,682OtherAll other candidates2.7%771

D+23.0

Lead: 6,618
Total: 28,753
vs nation: D+22.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic60.1%17,577DoleRepublican29.3%8,561OtherAll other candidates10.6%3,100

D+30.8

Lead: 9,016
Total: 29,238
vs nation: D+22.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+7.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 64,8652024 5-year
Population density: 1,255 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 51.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $63,5432024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 80.0%2024 5-year
Black: 10.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+55.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+44.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 9, PA · twin score 88.9

presidential history

Party record book

Pennsylvania 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

77.8%

26,818 votes · D+55.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 72.2%

Republican

Theodore Roosevelt1904

65.1%

2,344 votes · R+36.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 63.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

26,818votes

77.8% of the vote · D+55.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · 24,305 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

18,669votes

53.3% of the vote · R+7.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 17,950 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Walter Mondale1984

+57.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+39.3 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +52.6 pts

Republican

Calvin Coolidge1924

+19.2pts R vs U.S.

Place R+44.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +16.3 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DRob MatzieState House · 16

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	42.9%15,762	57.1%21,012	36,774
2020	R	42.0%15,404	58.0%21,249	36,653
2018	R	48.3%12,800	51.7%13,692	26,492

In 2024 it voted Republican by R+7.5, against D+11.7 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. The district had about 20,300 residents, 86.9% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 44.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.4 points.

A population of 64,865, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,543 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 9 and Assembly District 145.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 9

12-yr trendmedian age% Latino≠ Italian ancestry

Assembly District 145

12-yr trendItalian ancestrymedian age≠ Polish ancestry

State House District 120

12-yr trendItalian ancestry% Catholic≠ Polish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Pennsylvania 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Places within Pennsylvania 16th State House District

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Frequently asked questions

How did Pennsylvania 16th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Pennsylvania 16th State House District voted Republican by 7.4 points (R+7.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,048 votes cast, 16,058 went Democratic and 18,669 went Republican.

When did Pennsylvania 16th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Pennsylvania 16th State House District voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Pennsylvania 16th State House District?

Pennsylvania 16th State House District has a population of 64,865 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 16th State House District?

Median household income in Pennsylvania 16th State House District is $63,543 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Pennsylvania 16th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 16th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.