- Lead
- 3,592
- Total
- 5,559
- vs nation
- D+66.1
Connecticut 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,591
- Total
- 5,306
- vs nation
- D+63.2
- Lead
- 4,460
- Total
- 5,623
- vs nation
- D+77.2
- Lead
- 4,565
- Total
- 5,607
- vs nation
- D+77.6
- Lead
- 5,065
- Total
- 6,085
- vs nation
- D+76.0
- Lead
- 4,226
- Total
- 5,304
- vs nation
- D+82.1
- Lead
- 4,125
- Total
- 5,156
- vs nation
- D+79.5
- Lead
- 3,832
- Total
- 4,922
- vs nation
- D+69.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+64.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,4762024 5-year
- Population density
- 9,390 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $44,5312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 16.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 53.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 3, CT · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
93.9%
4,959 votes · D+87.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 91.3%
Republican
William McKinley1896
29.0%
86 votes · D+40.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 23.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
5,554votes
91.3% of the vote · D+83.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 5,067 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
948votes
17.1% of the vote · D+64.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 832 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+92.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+68.8 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +86.8 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−43.9pts R vs U.S.
Place D+63.4 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · −46.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+64.6, this Hartford-area district ranks among the most heavily one-sided in the state, reflecting dense urban concentration and a voter base that has shown remarkably consistent partisan alignment across cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.6 points.
A population of 23,476, a 17% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,531 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State House District 6.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.