- Lead
- 18,814
- Total
- 42,625
- vs nation
- D+45.6
New York 81st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 27,656
- Total
- 47,236
- vs nation
- D+54.1
- Lead
- 28,616
- Total
- 44,637
- vs nation
- D+62.0
- Lead
- 28,676
- Total
- 40,399
- vs nation
- D+67.1
- Lead
- 26,343
- Total
- 42,476
- vs nation
- D+54.7
- Lead
- 17,995
- Total
- 40,001
- vs nation
- D+47.4
- Lead
- 20,059
- Total
- 34,935
- vs nation
- D+56.9
- Lead
- 19,379
- Total
- 33,021
- vs nation
- D+50.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 129,1282024 5-year
- Population density
- 19,565 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,2222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 41.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+71.0 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 82, NY · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 81st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1916–2020 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
85.1%
34,374 votes · D+71.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 80.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
63.8%
20,166 votes · R+49.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 60.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
40,822votes
61.1% of the vote · D+22.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 39,487 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
48,930votes
58.3% of the vote · R+16.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 46,000 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+67.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+71.0 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +62.0 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+23.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.2 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +23.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 77.9%22,740 | 22.1%6,465 | 29,205 |
Assembly District 81 anchors a heavily Democratic corner of the Bronx, where dense urban settlement and a predominantly Latino and Black electorate have produced some of the most lopsided margins in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.0 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 14.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.1 points.
A population of 129,128, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,222 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 82 and Assembly District 80.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 81st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.