- Lead
- 13,217
- Total
- 45,383
- vs nation
- D+30.6
New York 82nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 19,519
- Total
- 48,069
- vs nation
- D+36.2
- Lead
- 18,416
- Total
- 42,008
- vs nation
- D+41.7
- Lead
- 19,638
- Total
- 37,600
- vs nation
- D+48.4
- Lead
- 16,041
- Total
- 40,946
- vs nation
- D+31.9
- Lead
- 7,063
- Total
- 40,915
- vs nation
- D+19.7
- Lead
- 11,661
- Total
- 33,785
- vs nation
- D+34.0
- Lead
- 11,824
- Total
- 31,245
- vs nation
- D+29.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 130,3282024 5-year
- Population density
- 12,653 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,6522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 26.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 40.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 81, NY · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 82nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1916–2020 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
75.8%
28,498 votes · D+52.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 70.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
78.2%
31,400 votes · R+68.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 73.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
33,809votes
45.6% of the vote · R+8.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 33,608 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
76,168votes
72.5% of the vote · R+45.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 71,630 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+48.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+52.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +41.7 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+49.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.6 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +43.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 77.9%22,951 | 22.1%6,525 | 29,476 |
Assembly District 82 sits in the Bronx and delivers some of New York's most lopsided presidential results, with the 2024 margin exceeding 29 points — a pattern rooted in the district's dense, majority-minority urban core.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.2 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 68.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 130,328, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,652 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 81 and Assembly District 80.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 82nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36082/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.