- Lead
- 25,554
- Total
- 41,846
- vs nation
- D+62.5
New York 53rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 34,874
- Total
- 45,863
- vs nation
- D+71.6
- Lead
- 35,648
- Total
- 41,694
- vs nation
- D+83.4
- Lead
- 33,748
- Total
- 38,367
- vs nation
- D+84.1
- Lead
- 33,245
- Total
- 38,545
- vs nation
- D+79.0
- Lead
- 27,765
- Total
- 33,599
- vs nation
- D+85.1
- Lead
- 27,881
- Total
- 32,464
- vs nation
- D+85.4
- Lead
- 23,996
- Total
- 28,558
- vs nation
- D+76.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+61.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 135,6772024 5-year
- Population density
- 48,456 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,2722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 48.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.0 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 54, NY · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
New York 53rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
93.3%
35,813 votes · D+88.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 92.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
32.2%
4,821 votes · D+15.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 26.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
40,578votes
91.3% of the vote · D+82.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 40,135 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
7,563votes
18.6% of the vote · D+62.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 7,342 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+88.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.9 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +85.4 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−26.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+46.0 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · −33.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
New York 53rd State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.0 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 15.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.1 points.
A population of 135,677, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,272 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 54 and Assembly District 51.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.