akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 51·New York

New York 51st State House District has voted Democratic in twenty-five straight presidential cycles.

One of New York's sharpest rightward tilts in a state house seat

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
D+43
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
144,858
2024 ACS

New York 51st State House District, New York: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+43%. Democratic peak: D+65 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+43MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
144,8582024 5-year
Median household income
$80,2632024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
37.9%2024 5-year
Black
27.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
19.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+65 in 1996MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+43.0%
33,09712,87946,995
D
+54.8%
38,71411,16250,295
D
+62.0%
35,2607,76444,345
D
+65.1%
33,2726,85640,568
D
+59.4%
33,2228,36041,827
D
+50.6%
28,3479,20137,865
D
+65.0%
27,3865,31833,976
D
+65.0%
23,7934,48129,716
D
+47.8%
22,6347,34032,014
D
+33.7%
20,0329,85130,221
D
+23.0%
20,28512,66433,070
D
+17.0%
15,90211,02628,684
D
+37.3%
23,08510,49933,779
D
+1.8%
21,34520,58242,034
D
+31.1%
26,92713,64842,659
D
+49.8%
37,69812,62250,395
D
+32.7%
35,59218,02753,797
D
+9.5%
30,69725,34656,043
D
+18.7%
36,12324,58961,830
D
+23.0%
31,92218,19259,660
D
+31.5%
41,74021,68463,763
D
+30.4%
40,88121,71863,059
D
+53.9%
40,64111,71753,631
D
+41.8%
28,30310,59842,331
D
+23.4%
22,26013,52137,422
R
−15.6%
8,74713,03927,451
R
−37.4%
6,58416,11225,445
D
+1.9%
6,9156,64714,172
D
+23.9%
6,0412,82113,468
R
−9.7%
5,3266,59413,022
R
−0.6%
6,1576,23412,953
R
−1.2%
5,8485,99912,102
R
−16.6%
4,2326,00710,661
D
+16.8%
5,5133,8819,709
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
4.5%
American
4.1%
Irish
4.0%
German
2.8%
English
2.4%
Polish
2.1%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
1.8%
75–84
2.8%
4.0%
65–74
5.0%
5.2%
55–64
6.0%
5.5%
45–54
6.1%
7.0%
35–44
7.4%
8.4%
25–34
9.1%
3.7%
18–24
3.9%
8.1%
5–17
7.7%
3.3%
<5
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,263
Assembly District 51 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 51$80,263
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1826.1%
Working age (18–64)16.5%
Seniors (65+)24.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
55.4%
speak English only
Other Indo-European18.2%
Spanish14.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander8.3%
Other languages3.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.1%
Non-Christian
16.5%
Other Christian
3.9%
Baptist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Methodist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 51 recorded a 21-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, a gap that stands out even within New York's competitive outer-borough and upstate corridors and signals a demographically distinct electorate from most of the state.

The Democratic margin in New York 51st State House District reached its widest at sixty-five points in 2012. The margin in 2024 was forty-three points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $80,263, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 144,858 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 51, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 51, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 51, New York voted Democratic by 43.0 points (D+43), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 46,995 votes cast, 33,097 went Democratic and 12,879 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 51, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 51, New York as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 28 times, Republican 6 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 51, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 51, New York voted Republican was 1924.
How many people live in Assembly District 51, New York?
Assembly District 51, New York has a population of 144,858 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 51, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 51, New York is $80,263 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 51, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 51, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 6 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.