- Lead
- 3,408
- Total
- 43,248
- vs nation
- R+6.4
New York 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,016
- Total
- 47,721
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Lead
- 4,796
- Total
- 41,124
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Lead
- 5,643
- Total
- 36,828
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Lead
- 2,191
- Total
- 39,986
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Lead
- 2,741
- Total
- 38,880
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Lead
- 5,348
- Total
- 30,607
- vs nation
- D+17.0
- Lead
- 4,979
- Total
- 26,645
- vs nation
- D+10.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 139,5022024 5-year
- Population density
- 29,681 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,1412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.7 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 41, NY · twin score 92.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
57.0%
20,978 votes · D+15.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 56.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
83.3%
36,108 votes · R+73.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 81.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
25,147votes
52.7% of the vote · D+6.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 23,767 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
56,766votes
74.5% of the vote · R+49.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 55,090 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+17.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.5 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +11.5 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+59.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · +55.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 46 sits in Staten Island's mid-island corridor, where working-class homeowner demographics have driven consistent Republican margins in recent presidential cycles, making it one of New York City's most reliably right-leaning legislative seats.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.7 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 73.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 14.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.9 points.
A population of 139,502, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,141 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 41 and Assembly District 40.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.