- Lead
- 8,437
- Total
- 37,975
- vs nation
- D+23.7
New York 34th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,883
- Total
- 43,272
- vs nation
- D+43.8
- Lead
- 22,176
- Total
- 37,526
- vs nation
- D+57.0
- Lead
- 20,974
- Total
- 32,528
- vs nation
- D+60.6
- Lead
- 19,767
- Total
- 34,713
- vs nation
- D+49.7
- Lead
- 16,633
- Total
- 32,664
- vs nation
- D+53.4
- Lead
- 17,777
- Total
- 30,315
- vs nation
- D+58.1
- Lead
- 15,953
- Total
- 28,164
- vs nation
- D+48.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 138,6642024 5-year
- Population density
- 38,518 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,2722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 27.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 50.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 38, NY · twin score 99.2
presidential history
Party record book
New York 34th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
81.5%
26,518 votes · D+64.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 78.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
63.1%
4,407 votes · R+34.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 55.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
31,868votes
73.6% of the vote · D+48.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 30,475 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
22,084votes
55.4% of the vote · R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 21,135 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+60.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+64.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +58.1 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+19.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.8 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +11.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.4%25,750 | 32.6%12,477 | 38,227 |
Assembly District 34 covers parts of western Queens where foreign-born residents make up a substantial share of the population, contributing to presidential margins that have consistently exceeded D+22 in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.5 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 34.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 26.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.2 points.
A population of 138,664, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,272 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 38 and Assembly District 35.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 34th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.