- Lead
- 26,801
- Total
- 48,959
- vs nation
- D+56.2
New York 33rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 39,850
- Total
- 54,312
- vs nation
- D+68.9
- Lead
- 37,263
- Total
- 48,315
- vs nation
- D+75.0
- Lead
- 34,469
- Total
- 42,853
- vs nation
- D+76.6
- Lead
- 34,199
- Total
- 44,702
- vs nation
- D+69.2
- Lead
- 30,006
- Total
- 41,242
- vs nation
- D+75.2
- Lead
- 29,948
- Total
- 39,263
- vs nation
- D+75.8
- Lead
- 26,871
- Total
- 35,829
- vs nation
- D+66.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+54.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 130,1292024 5-year
- Population density
- 20,333 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $101,3502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 48.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80.4 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+6.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 29, NY · twin score 98.2
presidential history
Party record book
New York 33rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
90.1%
38,598 votes · D+80.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 88.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
52.0%
3,295 votes · R+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 38.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
46,933votes
86.4% of the vote · D+73.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 44,400 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
15,926votes
38.1% of the vote · D+23.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 15,234 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+76.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+80.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +75.8 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
−12.4pts R vs U.S.
Place D+19.9 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · −19.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.4%24,165 | 32.6%11,709 | 35,874 |
Assembly District 33 covers part of Staten Island, where a working-class, largely Italian-American electorate has delivered Republican presidential candidates double-digit margins in recent cycles, making it one of the more reliably right-leaning assembly seats in New York City.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.4 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 6.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 18.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.7 points.
A population of 130,129, a 6% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,350 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 29 and Assembly District 31.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 33rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.