akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 38·New York

New York 38th State House District has voted Democratic in thirteen straight presidential cycles.

A mid-range Democratic district anchored in New York's dense suburban fabric

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
D+24
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
84,148
2024 ACS

New York 38th State House District, New York: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+24%. Democratic peak: D+59 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+24MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
84,1482024 5-year
Median household income
$86,1362024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
26.0%2024 5-year
Black
17.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
28.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+59 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+24.1%
15,8409,58625,934
D
+45.2%
20,6127,70328,553
D
+53.6%
18,7355,41024,863
D
+59.2%
17,0514,29621,561
D
+50.8%
17,4125,62323,188
D
+44.3%
15,7156,01121,929
D
+53.0%
15,1044,42120,140
D
+51.9%
13,5083,89918,521
D
+34.5%
12,6615,70720,138
D
+19.8%
11,7787,86219,804
D
+7.0%
11,89510,34122,298
D
+3.2%
9,7499,10420,318
D
+21.6%
13,7618,85322,730
R
−12.9%
11,89315,43127,388
D
+13.6%
14,87111,10727,744
D
+32.7%
19,6129,93829,588
D
+9.6%
16,16813,31929,554
R
−18.8%
11,54516,88228,427
R
−15.1%
11,99816,32228,605
R
−8.6%
9,73511,71723,166
R
−11.0%
10,61113,23523,921
R
−5.8%
10,43311,71522,239
D
+31.9%
11,5935,89717,858
D
+27.1%
8,8654,95014,422
D
+7.6%
6,6885,74212,517
R
−22.5%
2,1153,6516,816
R
−43.0%
1,2793,4184,974
R
−4.8%
1,1361,2562,485
D
+33.8%
1,0173332,021
D
+2.1%
7377031,594
D
+11.9%
6575111,232
D
+8.7%
5344461,016
R
−20.8%
4346771,167
D
+12.4%
5504241,016
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
4.9%
Irish
3.6%
American
2.8%
German
2.3%
Polish
2.0%
English
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.4%
2.2%
75–84
3.1%
4.8%
65–74
5.6%
6.6%
55–64
7.0%
6.4%
45–54
6.6%
6.9%
35–44
6.8%
7.5%
25–34
7.5%
3.7%
18–24
3.7%
7.2%
5–17
6.8%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$86,136
Assembly District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 38$86,136
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.8%
Working age (18–64)11.6%
Seniors (65+)18.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
44.6%
speak English only
Spanish23.3%
Other Indo-European15.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander14.7%
Other languages2.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
32.2%
Non-Christian
13.3%
Other Christian
3.8%
Methodist
1.8%
Baptist
1.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+12.8, Assembly District 38 sits in the competitive-to-safe middle ground of New York's legislative map, reflecting the suburban demographic shifts that have reshaped downstate constituencies over the past decade.

The Democratic margin in New York 38th State House District reached its widest at fifty-nine points in 2012. The margin in 2024 was twenty-four points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $86,136, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 84,148 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 38, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 38, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 38, New York voted Democratic by 24.1 points (D+24), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 25,934 votes cast, 15,840 went Democratic and 9,586 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 38, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 38, New York as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 10 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 38, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 38, New York voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Assembly District 38, New York?
Assembly District 38, New York has a population of 84,148 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 38, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 38, New York is $86,136 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 38, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 38, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.