- Lead
- 102
- Total
- 64,739
- vs nation
- D+1.6
New York 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,272
- Total
- 65,136
- vs nation
- D+3.6
- Lead
- 1,712
- Total
- 58,860
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Lead
- 7,113
- Total
- 51,689
- vs nation
- D+9.9
- Lead
- 9,119
- Total
- 57,593
- vs nation
- D+8.6
- Lead
- 6,109
- Total
- 55,219
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Lead
- 10,477
- Total
- 50,549
- vs nation
- D+20.2
- Lead
- 10,848
- Total
- 44,889
- vs nation
- D+15.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 129,2462024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,544 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 50.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $126,5802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.2 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 12, NY · twin score 93.2
presidential history
Party record book
New York 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.4%
17,239 votes · D+21.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 57.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
74.0%
13,106 votes · R+48.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 70.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
34,771votes
53.4% of the vote · D+8.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 33,058 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
29,499votes
45.3% of the vote · D+8.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 27,328 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+20.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.7 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +15.6 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+39.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +38.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
New York 4th State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.2 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 129,246, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $126,580 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 12 and Assembly District 10.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.