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state house district

Missouri 138th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German20.4%21.3%12.5%

English15.8%11.9%9.5%

Irish13.1%11.8%9.4%

American7.9%6.8%5.3%

French2.6%2.2%1.6%

Italian2.6%3.2%4.8%

Scottish2.6%1.8%1.3%

Dutch1.0%——

Mexican1.8%3.2%11.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 138	Missouri	United States
Median age	50.2	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	6.5%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.2%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 138	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$67,448	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	13.2%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	29.8%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 138	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	83.4%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	16.6%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$244,400	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$889	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	43.8%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	27.7%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 138	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	28.5 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	5.5%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	78.6%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.1%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	10.0%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 138	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.5%	6.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.6%	2.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 138	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 138	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.1%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.8%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.3%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	9.3%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.435	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic17.9%4,228TrumpRepublican81.4%19,193OtherAll other candidates0.7%170

R+63.4

Lead: 14,965
Total: 23,591
vs nation: R+62.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic18.5%4,249TrumpRepublican80.5%18,459OtherAll other candidates1.0%224

R+62.0

Lead: 14,210
Total: 22,932
vs nation: R+66.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic17.4%3,533TrumpRepublican78.8%16,030OtherAll other candidates3.9%790

R+61.4

Lead: 12,497
Total: 20,353
vs nation: R+63.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic23.8%4,572RomneyRepublican74.5%14,330OtherAll other candidates1.7%333

R+50.7

Lead: 9,758
Total: 19,235
vs nation: R+54.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic29.5%5,753McCainRepublican69.1%13,477OtherAll other candidates1.4%282

R+39.6

Lead: 7,724
Total: 19,512
vs nation: R+46.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic28.8%5,069BushRepublican70.7%12,442OtherAll other candidates0.5%84

R+41.9

Lead: 7,373
Total: 17,595
vs nation: R+39.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic32.8%4,520BushRepublican65.1%8,984OtherAll other candidates2.2%297

R+32.3

Lead: 4,464
Total: 13,801
vs nation: R+32.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic33.9%3,842DoleRepublican52.5%5,963OtherAll other candidates13.6%1,543

R+18.7

Lead: 2,121
Total: 11,348
vs nation: R+27.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+63.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 38,7572024 5-year
Population density: 57 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 675 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $67,4482024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.9%2024 5-year
Black: 0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+2.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+67.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 21, TN · twin score 97.1

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 138th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

50.9%

1,947 votes · D+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 42.6%

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

83.7%

3,115 votes · R+67.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 81.4%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

5,753votes

29.5% of the vote · R+39.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 5,069 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

19,193votes

81.4% of the vote · R+63.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,459 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

−8.6pts D vs U.S.

Place R+14.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −15.3 pts

Republican

Thomas E. Dewey1944

+70.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+62.6 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +66.4 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RBurt WhaleyState House · 138

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	18.7%4,042	81.3%17,585	21,627
2018	R	22.4%3,623	77.6%12,563	16,186

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+63.4, this rural Missouri district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep political consolidation that has reshaped nonmetropolitan Missouri over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 67.6 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.4 points.

A population of 38,757, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,448 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 21 and State House District 3.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 21

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 3

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 32

2008–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 138th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29138/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Missouri 138th State House District

counties it covers2

Christian County Stone County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 138th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 138th State House District voted Republican by 63.4 points (R+63.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,591 votes cast, 4,228 went Democratic and 19,193 went Republican.

When did Missouri 138th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 138th State House District voted Democratic was 1932.

How many people live in Missouri 138th State House District?

Missouri 138th State House District has a population of 38,757 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 138th State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 138th State House District is $67,448 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 138th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 138th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 36 went Republican.