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state house district

Missouri 125th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German19.8%21.3%12.5%

English16.4%11.9%9.5%

Irish11.1%11.8%9.4%

American10.0%6.8%5.3%

Italian2.3%3.2%4.8%

Dutch1.7%——

Polish1.2%1.3%2.2%

Scottish1.2%1.8%1.3%

Mexican1.6%3.2%11.3%

Spanish0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 125	Missouri	United States
Median age	41.4	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.6%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.9%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 125	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$52,336	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	19.3%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	16.7%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 125	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	71.4%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	28.6%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$160,300	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$772	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	44.0%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	14.4%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 125	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	23.1 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	11.0%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	77.5%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.1%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	9.8%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 125	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.7%	6.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.1%	2.9%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	2.6%	0.5%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 125	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 125	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.7%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.5%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.2%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.1%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.447	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic18.0%3,301TrumpRepublican81.1%14,894OtherAll other candidates1.0%176

R+63.1

Lead: 11,593
Total: 18,371
vs nation: R+61.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic19.1%3,559TrumpRepublican79.3%14,748OtherAll other candidates1.5%284

R+60.2

Lead: 11,189
Total: 18,591
vs nation: R+64.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic18.6%3,246TrumpRepublican76.6%13,382OtherAll other candidates4.8%842

R+58.0

Lead: 10,136
Total: 17,470
vs nation: R+60.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic29.2%4,919RomneyRepublican68.7%11,586OtherAll other candidates2.1%354

R+39.5

Lead: 6,667
Total: 16,859
vs nation: R+43.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic36.6%6,501McCainRepublican61.7%10,947OtherAll other candidates1.7%299

R+25.1

Lead: 4,446
Total: 17,747
vs nation: R+32.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic35.3%6,308BushRepublican64.1%11,459OtherAll other candidates0.6%116

R+28.8

Lead: 5,151
Total: 17,883
vs nation: R+26.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic38.0%6,287BushRepublican59.4%9,826OtherAll other candidates2.6%437

R+21.4

Lead: 3,539
Total: 16,550
vs nation: R+21.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic42.6%6,435DoleRepublican42.8%6,468OtherAll other candidates14.6%2,202

R+0.2

Lead: 33
Total: 15,105
vs nation: R+8.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+63.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 38,7662024 5-year
Population density: 24 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,643 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $52,3362024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.2%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+31.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+63.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 154, MO · twin score 98.5

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 125th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

65.3%

9,500 votes · D+31.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 64.0%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

81.1%

14,894 votes · R+63.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

11,984votes

64.0% of the vote · D+29.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 11,624 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

14,894votes

81.1% of the vote · R+63.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,748 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+37.4pts D vs U.S.

Place D+31.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +28.9 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+64.6pts R vs U.S.

Place R+60.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +61.6 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RDane DiehlState House · 125

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	17.7%3,246	82.3%15,078	18,324
2018	R	21.9%3,130	78.1%11,131	14,261

Missouri 125th State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.4 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 63.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.1 points.

A population of 38,766, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,336 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 154 and State House District 153.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 154

2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity

State House District 153

2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ English ancestry

State House District 120

2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 125th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Missouri 125th State House District

counties it covers3

Bates County Cedar County Vernon County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 125th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 125th State House District voted Republican by 63.1 points (R+63.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,371 votes cast, 3,301 went Democratic and 14,894 went Republican.

When did Missouri 125th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 125th State House District voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Missouri 125th State House District?

Missouri 125th State House District has a population of 38,766 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 125th State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 125th State House District is $52,336 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 125th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 125th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.