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state house district

Missouri 126th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German21.3%21.3%12.5%

English13.9%11.9%9.5%

Irish11.4%11.8%9.4%

American10.6%6.8%5.3%

French2.2%2.2%1.6%

Italian1.7%3.2%4.8%

Scottish1.4%1.8%1.3%

Scotch-Irish0.9%——

Mexican1.0%3.2%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.3%0.4%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 126	Missouri	United States
Median age	46.4	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	6.7%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	25.1%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 126	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$54,562	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	14.7%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.4%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 126	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	76.6%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	23.4%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$165,200	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$736	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	52.2%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	21.9%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 126	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	24.6 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	10.8%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	77.6%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.1%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	8.1%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 126	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.3%	6.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.0%	2.9%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	1.0%	0.5%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 126	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 126	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	0.6%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.2%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.5%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	10.3%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.446	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic21.7%4,177TrumpRepublican77.4%14,884OtherAll other candidates0.9%180

R+55.6

Lead: 10,707
Total: 19,241
vs nation: R+54.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic22.8%4,336TrumpRepublican75.9%14,418OtherAll other candidates1.2%234

R+53.1

Lead: 10,082
Total: 18,988
vs nation: R+57.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic22.4%3,938TrumpRepublican73.1%12,865OtherAll other candidates4.5%793

R+50.7

Lead: 8,927
Total: 17,596
vs nation: R+52.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic34.2%6,053RomneyRepublican62.8%11,120OtherAll other candidates3.1%547

R+28.6

Lead: 5,067
Total: 17,720
vs nation: R+32.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic41.5%7,998McCainRepublican56.6%10,917OtherAll other candidates1.9%373

R+15.1

Lead: 2,919
Total: 19,288
vs nation: R+22.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic39.7%7,472BushRepublican59.7%11,241OtherAll other candidates0.6%105

R+20.0

Lead: 3,769
Total: 18,818
vs nation: R+17.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic43.4%7,386BushRepublican54.3%9,226OtherAll other candidates2.3%394

R+10.8

Lead: 1,840
Total: 17,006
vs nation: R+11.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic47.8%7,580DoleRepublican37.9%6,017OtherAll other candidates14.3%2,271

D+9.9

Lead: 1,563
Total: 15,868
vs nation: D+1.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+55.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 36,6572024 5-year
Population density: 22 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,698 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $54,5622024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.1%2024 5-year
Black: 0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+25.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+55.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 153, MO · twin score 97.9

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 126th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

61.9%

11,222 votes · D+24.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.7%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

77.4%

14,884 votes · R+55.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.9%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

11,222votes

61.9% of the vote · D+24.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 11,054 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

14,884votes

77.4% of the vote · R+55.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,418 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+20.8pts D vs U.S.

Place R+4.3 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +20.4 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+57.6pts R vs U.S.

Place R+53.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +54.2 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RJim KalberlohState House · 126

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	19.9%3,719	80.1%14,966	18,685
2018	R	28.0%4,039	72.0%10,398	14,437

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+55.7, this 36,000-resident district ranks among the most heavily one-sided state house seats in Missouri, leaving general-election competition effectively absent.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.6 points.

A population of 36,657, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,562 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 153 and State House District 125.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 153

elasticity12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory

State House District 125

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory

State House District 144

2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 126th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29126/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Missouri 126th State House District

counties it covers4

Benton County Henry County Hickory County St. Clair County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 126th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 126th State House District voted Republican by 55.6 points (R+55.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,241 votes cast, 4,177 went Democratic and 14,884 went Republican.

When did Missouri 126th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 126th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Missouri 126th State House District?

Missouri 126th State House District has a population of 36,657 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 126th State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 126th State House District is $54,562 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 126th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 126th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.