- Lead
- 6,049
- Total
- 17,059
- vs nation
- R+34.0
Missouri 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,373
- Total
- 16,290
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Lead
- 4,898
- Total
- 15,336
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Lead
- 2,839
- Total
- 15,230
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Lead
- 1,092
- Total
- 16,108
- vs nation
- R+14.1
- Lead
- 2,431
- Total
- 14,682
- vs nation
- R+14.1
- Lead
- 1,083
- Total
- 12,270
- vs nation
- R+9.3
- Lead
- 437
- Total
- 10,808
- vs nation
- R+4.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,0802024 5-year
- Population density
- 89 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 430 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,6102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 49, MO · twin score 90.5
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
63.4%
5,011 votes · D+27.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 62.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
67.2%
4,992 votes · R+34.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 67.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
7,328votes
45.5% of the vote · R+6.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 6,047 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,427votes
67.0% of the vote · R+35.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,589 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+32.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.6 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +31.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+37.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.0 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +34.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its Republican presidential margin was R+35.5 in 2024 and R+6.8 in 2008. About 28,400 residents lived here, with White alone at 85.3% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 35.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 38,080, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,610 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 49 and State House District 122.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.