- Lead
- 4,807
- Total
- 20,106
- vs nation
- R+22.4
Missouri 44th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,204
- Total
- 20,883
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Lead
- 4,658
- Total
- 17,737
- vs nation
- R+28.4
- Lead
- 5,151
- Total
- 17,051
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Lead
- 4,027
- Total
- 17,699
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Lead
- 5,583
- Total
- 16,598
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Lead
- 4,180
- Total
- 12,806
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Lead
- 2,818
- Total
- 10,972
- vs nation
- R+34.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,8332024 5-year
- Population density
- 101 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 363 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,5182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.6 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 5, KS · twin score 89.6
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 44th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
63.8%
1,664 votes · D+28.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.6%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
73.8%
7,777 votes · R+47.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 72.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,566votes
36.2% of the vote · R+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,472 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
12,770votes
61.2% of the vote · R+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 12,279 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+33.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +28.6 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+34.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+25.7 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +34.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 54.8%7,802 | 45.2%6,424 | 14,226 |
Missouri 44th State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 47.6 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.9 points.
A population of 36,833, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,518 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5 and State House District 47.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 44th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.