- Lead
- 2,051
- Total
- 13,819
- vs nation
- R+13.4
Missouri 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,605
- Total
- 14,482
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Lead
- 2,272
- Total
- 14,306
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Lead
- 311
- Total
- 14,364
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Lead
- 1,644
- Total
- 16,192
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Lead
- 818
- Total
- 15,378
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Lead
- 1,837
- Total
- 14,560
- vs nation
- D+12.1
- Lead
- 2,536
- Total
- 13,838
- vs nation
- D+9.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,4512024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,672 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 22.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,3432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+20.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 11, MO · twin score 86.5
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
72.2%
10,886 votes · D+44.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 69.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
60.3%
7,856 votes · R+20.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 57.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
13,093votes
69.0% of the vote · D+38.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 11,767 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
7,940votes
46.9% of the vote · D+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,892 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+34.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.2 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +33.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+18.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+15.9 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +15.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With roughly 37,000 residents and a 2024 presidential margin of R+14.8, this state house district leans reliably toward Republican candidates at the top of the ticket, a pattern consistent with rural and exurban Missouri's broader shift over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 20.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.8 points.
A population of 37,451, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,343 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 117.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.