akashic
1876–2024
State House District 4B·Minnesota

State House District 4B votes the way the country votes.

A rural northern district where presidential margins run deep red

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
68,061
2024 ACS

State House District 4B, Minnesota: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+65 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
68,0612024 5-year
Median household income
$79,7792024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.0%2024 5-year
Black
4.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+39 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+65 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.8%
16,00917,66034,460
R
−1.3%
16,26016,70233,806
R
−6.7%
12,88914,95030,698
D
+4.6%
15,31013,94030,016
D
+12.5%
16,83413,01130,505
R
−7.0%
13,33015,37929,115
R
−8.9%
10,39012,58424,569
D
+7.3%
10,8779,24122,505
D
+0.1%
10,05910,03024,502
D
+2.0%
11,47111,01922,647
R
−7.4%
10,59212,29023,012
R
−7.6%
9,33111,10923,489
D
+3.4%
11,41910,65522,627
R
−10.2%
9,30711,45321,010
D
+0.6%
8,3948,28617,428
D
+25.3%
10,7486,40517,192
R
−5.2%
7,8408,71016,583
R
−4.6%
6,6187,25713,895
R
−16.4%
5,6947,93713,665
D
+21.6%
7,4674,76012,515
D
+9.5%
5,9624,92410,947
D
+17.7%
7,3265,10912,502
D
+36.5%
7,3263,28011,097
D
+38.8%
6,7682,8899,995
R
−21.1%
3,6565,6409,421
O
−38.3%
5063,5277,880
R
−55.2%
1,4275,6877,724
D
+1.6%
1,9151,8524,013
O
+11.6%
1,0336253,529
R
−27.5%
1,1942,2053,672
R
−64.7%
4282,4443,116
R
−25.9%
1,2412,1723,588
D
+3.7%
1,9561,8143,863
D
+19.1%
1,0815982,530
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
30.1%
Irish
6.6%
English
5.7%
French
3.0%
Polish
2.6%
American
2.2%
Italian
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.4%
2.0%
75–84
2.3%
4.4%
65–74
4.5%
5.3%
55–64
5.4%
5.6%
45–54
4.9%
6.8%
35–44
6.8%
6.4%
25–34
6.1%
5.9%
18–24
6.9%
9.6%
5–17
8.7%
3.1%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$79,779
State House District 4B ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 4B$79,779
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.8%
Working age (18–64)13.1%
Seniors (65+)12.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.2%
Other languages1.8%
Spanish1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
27.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.6%
Other Christian
3.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Minnesota's 4B tilts heavily Republican in federal contests, reflecting the broader rural realignment across the state's northern counties, where the 2024 presidential margin reached nearly 25 points.

The Democratic margin in State House District 4B has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 85% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $79,779 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 4B, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2704B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 4B, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 4B, Minnesota voted Republican by 4.8 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,460 votes cast, 16,009 went Democratic and 17,660 went Republican.
What is State House District 4B, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 4B, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 16 times, and other 2 times.
When did State House District 4B, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 4B, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State House District 4B, Minnesota?
State House District 4B, Minnesota has a population of 68,061 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 4B, Minnesota?
Median household income in State House District 4B, Minnesota is $79,779 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State House District 4B, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 4B, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.