- Lead
- 3,018
- Total
- 20,079
- vs nation
- D+16.5
Minnesota State House District 4A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,443
- Total
- 19,630
- vs nation
- D+13.1
- Lead
- 1,641
- Total
- 18,155
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Lead
- 3,601
- Total
- 18,033
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 5,076
- Total
- 18,487
- vs nation
- D+20.2
- Lead
- 1,144
- Total
- 17,102
- vs nation
- D+9.1
- Lead
- 689
- Total
- 14,304
- vs nation
- D+4.3
- Lead
- 2,472
- Total
- 13,189
- vs nation
- D+10.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,3622024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,477 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 17.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,0112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 44, ND · twin score 92.6
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 4A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
71.6%
4,129 votes · D+47.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 68.3%
Republican
Rutherford B. Hayes1876
72.8%
251 votes · R+45.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 70.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
11,538votes
62.4% of the vote · D+27.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,302 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,284votes
41.3% of the vote · D+15.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,827 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+29.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.1 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +27.8 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+31.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.1 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +15.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.7%9,669 | 52.3%10,586 | 20,255 |
| 2020 | D | 59.7%11,065 | 40.3%7,473 | 18,538 |
District 4A spans sparsely populated lake country in northwestern Minnesota, where a significant Native American population and a regional university town help produce consistent double-digit Democratic margins in federal contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 51.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.0 points.
A population of 42,362, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,011 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 44 and Assembly District 93.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 4A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2704A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.