akashic
1876–2024
State House District 45·Michigan

Michigan 45th State House District delivered R+10 in 2024.

A competitive suburban seat that flipped within a 3-point margin in 2024

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
223,178
2024 ACS

Michigan 45th State House District, Michigan: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
223,1782024 5-year
Median household income
$66,3662024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
78.9%2024 5-year
Black
9.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+58 in 1928MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−9.6%
52,21363,445117,553
R
−7.2%
51,79560,007113,928
R
−9.4%
42,26351,709100,076
D
+1.5%
49,49548,04998,978
D
+9.0%
57,24747,650106,733
R
−5.5%
47,78353,361102,211
R
−1.6%
42,19043,58188,339
D
+5.1%
38,99834,83782,106
D
+4.1%
37,61033,83392,755
R
−14.1%
34,02245,25679,785
R
−30.6%
29,23055,17084,866
R
−14.7%
34,30547,56490,391
R
−13.2%
36,09347,26484,822
R
−22.0%
31,13449,18982,173
R
−13.0%
29,53139,60377,717
D
+21.2%
44,35828,81273,322
R
−20.8%
31,23447,72879,225
R
−32.0%
24,84748,39073,490
R
−30.8%
24,18145,88470,477
R
−17.8%
19,82128,67049,640
R
−17.7%
21,35730,62852,476
R
−15.2%
23,69532,23156,287
D
+10.4%
26,98721,77450,351
R
−1.3%
22,22822,82946,495
R
−58.0%
8,93533,92243,099
R
−53.7%
6,36525,95836,477
R
−38.9%
9,32622,10832,898
D
+8.7%
10,9519,10821,070
O
+7.9%
5,4774,06617,938
R
−17.1%
6,4449,35416,991
R
−33.9%
4,88210,45416,451
R
−4.3%
7,8768,61117,194
D
+1.6%
8,5878,30117,392
R
−5.7%
6,1797,02214,908
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.9%
English
16.2%
Irish
11.6%
Polish
4.9%
American
4.8%
French
2.4%
Italian
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.3%
2.4%
75–84
2.9%
5.2%
65–74
5.7%
6.5%
55–64
6.6%
6.0%
45–54
5.7%
6.2%
35–44
5.9%
6.6%
25–34
6.3%
5.1%
18–24
4.9%
8.4%
5–17
7.8%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,366
State House District 45 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 45$66,366
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.3%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)8.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.2%
speak English only
Spanish2.5%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
9.9%
Other Christian
8.1%
Mainline Protestant
4.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Baptist
2.9%
Methodist
2.6%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 68.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan's 45th House district sits in the competitive suburban ring where presidential margins have tightened in recent cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban shift patterns.

The Democratic margin in Michigan 45th State House District has rarely exceeded twenty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $66,366 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 45, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 45, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 45, Michigan voted Republican by 9.6 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 117,553 votes cast, 52,213 went Democratic and 63,445 went Republican.
What is State House District 45, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 45, Michigan as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 45, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 45, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State House District 45, Michigan?
State House District 45, Michigan has a population of 223,178 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 45, Michigan?
Median household income in State House District 45, Michigan is $66,366 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of State House District 45, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 45, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.