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state house district

Michigan 45th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German22.3%17.7%12.5%

English19.1%10.5%9.5%

Irish13.7%9.9%9.4%

Polish5.8%7.2%2.2%

American5.7%4.2%5.3%

Dutch3.3%3.0%—

French2.8%3.0%1.6%

Italian2.2%4.2%4.8%

Mexican2.3%4.0%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%

African American†1.2%12.2%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MI HD 45	Michigan	United States
Median age	43.2	40.3	39.1
Age 18–24	10.0%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.1%	18.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MI HD 45	Michigan	United States
Median household income	$79,238	$72,875	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.6%	13.2%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	27.1%	32.6%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MI HD 45	Michigan	United States
Owner-occupied homes	83.4%	73.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	16.6%	26.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$209,600	$231,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,011	$1,129	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	32.2%	50.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.4%	11.8%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MI HD 45	Michigan	United States
Mean commute	23.3 min	24.2 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	5.1%	6.0%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	81.8%	74.3%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.1%	0.9%	3.2%
Works from home	8.3%	13.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MI HD 45	Michigan	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.8%	10.4%	22.3%
Spanish	2.5%	3.1%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MI HD 45	Michigan	United States
Catholic	—	14.8%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	12.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	60.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MI HD 45	Michigan	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.3%	7.2%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.5%	4.1%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.8%	3.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.5%	5.8%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.415	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic32.0%17,046TrumpRepublican66.7%35,496OtherAll other candidates1.3%683

R+34.7

Lead: 18,450
Total: 53,225
vs nation: R+33.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic32.8%16,844TrumpRepublican65.4%33,560OtherAll other candidates1.8%922

R+32.6

Lead: 16,716
Total: 51,326
vs nation: R+37.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic30.0%13,368TrumpRepublican64.1%28,582OtherAll other candidates5.9%2,638

R+34.1

Lead: 15,214
Total: 44,588
vs nation: R+36.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic37.7%16,090RomneyRepublican61.2%26,132OtherAll other candidates1.1%485

R+23.5

Lead: 10,042
Total: 42,707
vs nation: R+27.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic41.5%18,825McCainRepublican57.2%25,958OtherAll other candidates1.3%591

R+15.7

Lead: 7,133
Total: 45,374
vs nation: R+23.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic35.2%16,033BushRepublican63.9%29,110OtherAll other candidates1.0%443

R+28.7

Lead: 13,077
Total: 45,586
vs nation: R+26.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic37.1%14,395BushRepublican61.0%23,655OtherAll other candidates1.9%749

R+23.9

Lead: 9,260
Total: 38,799
vs nation: R+24.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic37.2%13,411DoleRepublican52.0%18,728OtherAll other candidates10.8%3,888

R+14.8

Lead: 5,317
Total: 36,027
vs nation: R+23.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+34.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 90,6122024 5-year
Population density: 95 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 956 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $79,2382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.4%2024 5-year
Black: 1.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin: R+70.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 78, MI · twin score 96.2

presidential history

Party record book

Michigan 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

49.8%

16,010 votes · R+0.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 44.4%

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

85.3%

19,595 votes · R+70.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 77.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

18,825votes

41.5% of the vote · R+15.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,046 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

35,496votes

66.7% of the vote · R+34.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 33,560 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1916

−15.5pts D vs U.S.

Place R+12.4 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · −17.4 pts

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

+53.4pts R vs U.S.

Place R+70.9 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +44.7 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RSarah LightnerState House · 45

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 1 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	39.6%17,748	60.4%27,109	44,857

Michigan's 45th House district sits in the competitive suburban ring where presidential margins have tightened in recent cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban shift patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 70.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.7 points.

A population of 90,612, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,238 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 78 and Assembly District 148.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 78

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend

Assembly District 148

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Italian ancestry

State House District 105

2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Michigan 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Michigan 45th State House District

counties it covers3

Calhoun County Jackson County Kalamazoo County

Frequently asked questions

How did Michigan 45th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Michigan 45th State House District voted Republican by 34.7 points (R+34.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 53,225 votes cast, 17,046 went Democratic and 35,496 went Republican.

How many people live in Michigan 45th State House District?

Michigan 45th State House District has a population of 90,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Michigan 45th State House District?

Median household income in Michigan 45th State House District is $79,238 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.

What is the political history of Michigan 45th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Michigan 45th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 37 went Republican.