- Lead
- 947
- Total
- 42,797
- vs nation
- R+0.7
Michigan 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 64
- Total
- 41,239
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Lead
- 630
- Total
- 36,045
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Lead
- 3,792
- Total
- 36,577
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Lead
- 7,063
- Total
- 39,421
- vs nation
- D+10.6
- Lead
- 1,238
- Total
- 36,964
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Lead
- 2,597
- Total
- 32,354
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Lead
- 3,478
- Total
- 29,056
- vs nation
- D+3.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 91,0412024 5-year
- Population density
- 580 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 157 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,5652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 72, OH · twin score 74.6
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.8%
15,912 votes · D+27.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.1%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
71.3%
10,376 votes · R+43.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 64.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
22,799votes
57.8% of the vote · D+17.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 20,565 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
21,512votes
50.3% of the vote · R+2.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,260 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1900
+19.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.4 · U.S. R+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +16.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+37.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +25.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.9%18,404 | 60.1%27,708 | 46,112 |
| 2020 | R | 42.4%19,388 | 57.6%26,285 | 45,673 |
Michigan's 46th state house district sits in competitive suburban territory, where a slim 2.2-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 signals a constituency that has shifted from its earlier partisan leanings and remains closely divided.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.2 points.
A population of 91,041, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,565 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 72 and State House District 68.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.