akashic
1876–2024
State House District 39·Michigan

Michigan 39th State House District delivered R+16 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Michigan's most reliably Republican legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+16
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
106,638
2024 ACS

Michigan 39th State House District, Michigan: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+16MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
106,6382024 5-year
Median household income
$70,3262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.3%2024 5-year
Black
4.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1924MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−16.1%
24,31033,83959,107
R
−13.8%
23,67831,41556,075
R
−16.4%
18,48526,32947,829
R
−4.4%
22,15924,20747,001
D
+4.8%
25,62023,23549,746
R
−9.5%
21,73126,36848,627
R
−9.1%
18,41322,21641,801
D
+1.0%
17,40317,02938,753
D
+1.3%
16,50415,97342,393
R
−20.2%
14,07421,29135,647
R
−33.1%
11,96123,92936,123
R
−23.7%
12,66521,42536,962
R
−18.2%
14,03920,39634,879
R
−34.2%
10,01820,78531,496
R
−18.4%
10,38315,94730,264
D
+13.7%
16,29312,36528,723
R
−28.9%
10,41418,91629,469
R
−39.0%
8,30018,99727,415
R
−39.3%
8,01418,51026,706
R
−34.3%
6,20612,97419,718
R
−34.8%
7,19414,92422,232
R
−30.8%
8,03315,24123,401
R
−9.1%
9,58611,60622,209
D
+2.6%
9,9269,41219,899
R
−52.9%
3,81912,50016,425
R
−54.9%
2,28510,09614,238
R
−53.2%
2,7399,42912,573
R
−13.3%
4,2355,58210,153
O
+0.6%
2,6322,5799,234
R
−30.5%
3,0085,8569,350
R
−47.4%
2,2006,5469,176
R
−19.8%
4,0616,13010,461
R
−9.2%
4,8245,82510,920
R
−18.6%
3,0624,7248,942
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.4%
English
11.6%
Irish
10.3%
American
5.3%
Polish
4.6%
Italian
3.5%
French
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.8%
speak English only
Spanish7.0%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
11.8%
Other Christian
8.9%
Mainline Protestant
4.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Methodist
2.4%
Baptist
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+33.8, this district sits well outside Michigan's competitive zone. Rural geography and a predominantly non-urban population base have produced consistent double-digit Republican margins across successive election cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fourteen points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 106,638, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,326 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 39, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 39, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 39, Michigan voted Republican by 16.1 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 59,107 votes cast, 24,310 went Democratic and 33,839 went Republican.
What is State House District 39, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 39, Michigan as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 28 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 39, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 39, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in State House District 39, Michigan?
State House District 39, Michigan has a population of 106,638 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 39, Michigan?
Median household income in State House District 39, Michigan is $70,326 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of State House District 39, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 39, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.