- Lead
- 2,012
- Total
- 27,473
- vs nation
- R+5.9
Michigan 3rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 16,022
- Total
- 30,220
- vs nation
- D+48.6
- Lead
- 12,929
- Total
- 26,057
- vs nation
- D+47.5
- Lead
- 16,000
- Total
- 27,386
- vs nation
- D+54.6
- Lead
- 18,192
- Total
- 29,898
- vs nation
- D+53.6
- Lead
- 15,050
- Total
- 28,582
- vs nation
- D+55.1
- Lead
- 13,469
- Total
- 25,428
- vs nation
- D+52.4
- Lead
- 13,764
- Total
- 24,593
- vs nation
- D+47.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,5032024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,512 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 20.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $47,0512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 2, MI · twin score 88.0
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 3rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
81.7%
30,034 votes · D+63.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 79.8%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
73.9%
6,906 votes · R+64.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 67.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
30,034votes
81.7% of the vote · D+63.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 27,941 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
12,230votes
33.7% of the vote · D+32.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 11,679 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+55.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+52.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +54.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+40.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +39.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 75.8%15,813 | 24.2%5,038 | 20,851 |
| 2018 | D | 98.3%8,863 | 1.7%155 | 9,018 |
Covering lightly populated terrain in northwestern Lower Michigan, this district delivered a nearly 7.3-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the rural, small-town demographic patterns common to the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 60.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.3 points.
A population of 92,503, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,051 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 2 and State House District 15.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.