- Lead
- 30,273
- Total
- 35,691
- vs nation
- D+86.3
Michigan 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 34,971
- Total
- 38,093
- vs nation
- D+87.3
- Lead
- 34,362
- Total
- 36,512
- vs nation
- D+92.0
- Lead
- 39,535
- Total
- 41,209
- vs nation
- D+92.1
- Lead
- 43,862
- Total
- 45,994
- vs nation
- D+88.1
- Lead
- 39,818
- Total
- 41,520
- vs nation
- D+98.4
- Lead
- 35,257
- Total
- 37,391
- vs nation
- D+93.8
- Lead
- 33,145
- Total
- 35,791
- vs nation
- D+84.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+84.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,4352024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,282 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 17.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $34,6082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100.0 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+2.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 5, MI · twin score 99.3
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Winfield S. Hancock1880
100.0%
1,106 votes · D+100.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 100.0%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
25.4%
870 votes · D+21.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 17.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56,353votes
98.5% of the vote · D+97.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 52,454 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,358votes
6.6% of the vote · D+84.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 1,667 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+114.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+94.6 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +112.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
−3.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+2.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · −46.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 68.3%27,996 | 31.7%13,003 | 40,999 |
Michigan 4th State House District sits in the Great Lakes. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 2.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 84.8 points.
A population of 92,435, a 4% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $34,608 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5 and State House District 8.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.