- Lead
- 5,391
- Total
- 27,042
- vs nation
- D+21.4
Massachusetts 37th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,607
- Total
- 28,122
- vs nation
- D+19.0
- Lead
- 2,974
- Total
- 25,849
- vs nation
- D+9.4
- Lead
- 1,146
- Total
- 23,872
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Lead
- 2,102
- Total
- 23,168
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Lead
- 1,401
- Total
- 21,885
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Lead
- 2,333
- Total
- 20,378
- vs nation
- D+10.9
- Lead
- 3,490
- Total
- 19,033
- vs nation
- D+9.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,4252024 5-year
- Population density
- 813 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 55.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $136,4512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 2nd Essex District, MA · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 37th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.5%
12,450 votes · D+39.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 60.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
75.8%
7,106 votes · R+56.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 72.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
17,006votes
60.5% of the vote · D+23.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 15,879 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
12,420votes
65.5% of the vote · R+31.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 12,124 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+21.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +19.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+48.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +30.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%16,764 | 0.0%0 | 16,764 |
| 2020 | D | 73.6%15,921 | 26.4%5,709 | 21,630 |
The 14th Essex District anchors a densely settled stretch of Massachusetts's North Shore, where a heavily blue-collar and immigrant-origin electorate has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic presidential margins across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.
A population of 45,425, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $136,451 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 2nd Essex District and 9th Worcester District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 37th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.