- Lead
- 2,213
- Total
- 23,377
- vs nation
- D+10.9
Massachusetts 23rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,298
- Total
- 24,008
- vs nation
- D+13.4
- Lead
- 1,142
- Total
- 21,562
- vs nation
- D+3.2
- Lead
- 3,198
- Total
- 19,688
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Lead
- 3,783
- Total
- 20,020
- vs nation
- D+11.6
- Lead
- 4,545
- Total
- 19,063
- vs nation
- D+26.3
- Lead
- 5,333
- Total
- 17,359
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Lead
- 5,984
- Total
- 16,583
- vs nation
- D+27.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,2422024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,437 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 29.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $112,6152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+54.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 9th Worcester District, MA · twin score 90.4
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 23rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
77.0%
11,564 votes · D+54.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 64.7%
Republican
William McKinley1896
75.0%
1,873 votes · R+56.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
13,859votes
57.7% of the vote · D+17.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 12,447 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,234votes
43.8% of the vote · D+9.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,561 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+31.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.5 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +30.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+50.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +28.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 81.0%12,569 | 19.0%2,957 | 15,526 |
| 2020 | D | 55.8%10,567 | 44.2%8,368 | 18,935 |
The 14th Bristol District sits within one of Massachusetts's older industrial corridors, where a D+9.5 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a competitive lean rather than the lopsided results common in eastern parts of the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.5 points.
A population of 42,242, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $112,615 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 9th Worcester District and 2nd Bristol District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 23rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.