- Lead
- 6,108
- Total
- 18,589
- vs nation
- D+34.3
Massachusetts 154th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,802
- Total
- 19,624
- vs nation
- D+35.3
- Lead
- 6,114
- Total
- 18,034
- vs nation
- D+31.8
- Lead
- 5,781
- Total
- 16,636
- vs nation
- D+30.9
- Lead
- 6,496
- Total
- 16,916
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Lead
- 6,146
- Total
- 15,817
- vs nation
- D+41.3
- Lead
- 6,115
- Total
- 14,508
- vs nation
- D+41.6
- Lead
- 6,806
- Total
- 13,879
- vs nation
- D+40.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+32.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,1962024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,264 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $97,7192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+71.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 7th Essex District, MA · twin score 93.0
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 154th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
85.4%
11,934 votes · D+71.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 74.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
63.3%
1,168 votes · R+33.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 56.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
13,489votes
68.7% of the vote · D+39.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 12,069 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,961votes
32.1% of the vote · D+32.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,687 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+55.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.3 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +52.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+27.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +11.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%13,799 | 0.0%0 | 13,799 |
| 2020 | D | 68.9%14,196 | 31.1%6,404 | 20,600 |
Centered in Worcester, this district's D+32.9 presidential margin reflects a dense urban core shaped by a large student and renter population, patterns typical of Massachusetts districts anchored by higher-education institutions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.9 points.
A population of 45,196, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,719 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 7th Essex District and 14th Worcester District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 154th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25154/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.