- Lead
- 2,325
- Total
- 21,245
- vs nation
- D+12.4
Massachusetts 11th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,887
- Total
- 21,502
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Lead
- 1,692
- Total
- 19,189
- vs nation
- D+6.7
- Lead
- 3,553
- Total
- 17,836
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 4,093
- Total
- 18,067
- vs nation
- D+15.4
- Lead
- 4,772
- Total
- 17,261
- vs nation
- D+30.1
- Lead
- 5,385
- Total
- 15,737
- vs nation
- D+33.7
- Lead
- 5,930
- Total
- 14,790
- vs nation
- D+31.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,7802024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,852 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 23.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $98,3742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 3rd Bristol District, MA · twin score 93.3
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 11th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
78.3%
10,851 votes · D+57.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 66.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
75.2%
1,614 votes · R+55.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,402votes
57.7% of the vote · D+18.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,509 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,184votes
43.2% of the vote · D+10.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,515 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+34.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.0 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +33.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+49.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +26.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 81.0%12,729 | 19.0%2,994 | 15,723 |
| 2020 | D | 55.8%10,701 | 44.2%8,475 | 19,176 |
The 2nd Bristol District delivers presidential margins exceeding 35 points, reflecting its dense, working-class urban core in the Fall River area, where Democratic registration has dominated local politics for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.9 points.
A population of 42,780, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $98,374 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 3rd Bristol District and 10th Worcester District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 11th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.