Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Arkansas 38th State House District
presidential margin
2008R+29.32012R+38.52016R+42.42020R+45.42024R+48.5
full record · 20082024
R+48.5
2024
median income$61,915U.S. $80,734 · AR $60,773
median age38.4U.S. 39.1 · AR 38.8
poverty rate17.7%U.S. 12.5% · AR 16.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)24.8%U.S. 35.6% · AR 26.0%
non-english5.4%U.S. 22.3% · AR 8.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English12.9%
American12.7%
Irish10.6%
African American11.2%
African0.2%
Mexican2.9%
Puerto Rican0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Poinsett County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Arkansas 38th State House District

Akashic
Arkansas 38th State House DistrictTrumpR+48.5
2024
2024 presidential margin for Arkansas 38th State House DistrictThe boundary of Arkansas 38th State House District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (R+48.5), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Arkansas 38th State House District · R+48.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican73.2%8,469
Kamala HarrisDemocratic24.6%2,851
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other2.2%252
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 3 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Arkansas 38th State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Craighead County, ARRepublicanR+37.4
Jackson County, ARRepublicanR+48.7
Poinsett County, ARRepublicanR+63.5
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
24.6%Harris2,851
73.2%Trump8,469
2.2%Kennedy252
−48.5%
11,572
R
26.1%Biden3,146
71.5%Trump8,618
2.4%Jorgensen291
−45.4%
12,055
R
26.0%Clinton2,999
68.4%Trump7,879
5.6%Johnson642
−42.4%
11,520
R
30.7%Obama3,140
69.3%Romney7,076
0.0%
−38.5%
10,216
R
33.4%Obama2,923
62.8%McCain5,486
3.8%Nader332
−29.3%
8,741
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −48.5% in 2024.−48.5%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−29.3%
2012−38.5%
2016−42.4%
2020−45.4%
2024−48.5%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RDwight ToshState House · 38

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+48.5, this district of roughly 31,000 residents sits among the most one-sided legislative constituencies in the state, where statewide Republican candidates consistently run well above their Arkansas averages.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 48.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.5 points.

A population of 31,048, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,915 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 33 and State House District 15.

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Arkansas 38th State House District

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas 38th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 38th State House District voted Republican by 48.5 points (R+48.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,572 votes cast, 2,851 went Democratic and 8,469 went Republican.
How many people live in Arkansas 38th State House District?
Arkansas 38th State House District has a population of 31,048 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 38th State House District?
Median household income in Arkansas 38th State House District is $61,915 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 38th State House District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Arkansas 38th State House District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.