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state house district

Arkansas 33rd State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English14.6%12.3%9.5%

Irish12.3%8.9%9.4%

American12.1%7.5%5.3%

German10.4%9.2%12.5%

Scottish2.0%1.8%1.3%

Italian1.7%1.4%4.8%

French1.2%1.3%1.6%

Scotch-Irish0.9%0.6%—

African American†4.5%13.5%9.9%

Mexican3.8%6.3%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	AR HD 33	Arkansas	United States
Median age	36.3	38.8	39.1
Age 18–24	10.2%	9.4%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	14.3%	17.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	AR HD 33	Arkansas	United States
Median household income	$57,609	$60,773	$84,427
Poverty rate	16.3%	16.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	25.0%	26.0%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	AR HD 33	Arkansas	United States
Owner-occupied homes	67.9%	66.4%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	32.1%	33.6%	34.8%
Median home value	$168,200	$188,000	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$954	$947	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	50.2%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	11.6%	13.5%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	AR HD 33	Arkansas	United States
Mean commute	22.6 min	22.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	4.9%	5.6%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	83.0%	78.9%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.3%	3.2%
Works from home	3.5%	8.8%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	AR HD 33	Arkansas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	6.0%	8.3%	22.3%
Spanish	4.6%	6.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	AR HD 33	Arkansas	United States
Catholic	—	5.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	38.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	42.5%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	AR HD 33	Arkansas	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.1%	5.4%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.9%	1.9%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.2%	3.6%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.7%	7.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.466	0.479	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic19.2%2,052TrumpRepublican79.2%8,452OtherAll other candidates1.6%169

R+60.0

Lead: 6,400
Total: 10,673
vs nation: R+58.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic20.3%2,217TrumpRepublican77.1%8,418OtherAll other candidates2.6%279

R+56.8

Lead: 6,201
Total: 10,914
vs nation: R+61.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic21.8%2,192TrumpRepublican76.3%7,670OtherAll other candidates1.9%196

R+54.5

Lead: 5,478
Total: 10,058
vs nation: R+56.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic23.8%2,243RomneyRepublican73.7%6,950OtherAll other candidates2.5%240

R+49.9

Lead: 4,707
Total: 9,433
vs nation: R+53.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic25.3%2,354McCainRepublican72.2%6,724OtherAll other candidates2.5%233

R+46.9

Lead: 4,370
Total: 9,311
vs nation: R+54.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic31.5%2,719BushRepublican66.7%5,765OtherAll other candidates1.8%159

R+35.2

Lead: 3,046
Total: 8,643
vs nation: R+32.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic34.8%2,540BushRepublican62.7%4,577OtherAll other candidates2.6%188

R+27.9

Lead: 2,037
Total: 7,305
vs nation: R+28.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic40.7%2,828DoleRepublican50.0%3,478OtherAll other candidates9.3%646

R+9.3

Lead: 650
Total: 6,952
vs nation: R+17.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+60.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 31,1922024 5-year
Population density: 39 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 806 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $57,6092024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.5%2024 5-year
Black: 4.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+65.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+65.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 38, AR · twin score 98.5

presidential history

Party record book

Arkansas 33rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

82.0%

1,224 votes · D+65.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 80.0%

Republican

Richard Nixon1972

82.5%

6,555 votes · R+65.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 79.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Jimmy Carter1976

3,150votes

46.6% of the vote · R+6.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 3,113 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

8,452votes

79.2% of the vote · R+60.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,418 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

+47.8pts D vs U.S.

Place D+65.6 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +47.1 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+61.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+56.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +58.5 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RJon MilliganState House · 33

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	28.4%2,615	71.6%6,595	9,210
2020	R	0.0%0	100.0%9,009	9,009

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+60.0, this 31,000-person district sits among the most lopsided in the state, where general-election outcomes are largely settled before ballots are cast.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 65.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.0 points.

A population of 31,192, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,609 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 38 and State House District 30.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 38

% Evangelical2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 30

2008–2024 trajectory

State House District 39

2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Arkansas 33rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Arkansas 33rd State House District

counties it covers2

Craighead County Mississippi County

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas 33rd State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Arkansas 33rd State House District voted Republican by 60.0 points (R+60.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,673 votes cast, 2,052 went Democratic and 8,452 went Republican.

When did Arkansas 33rd State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 33rd State House District voted Democratic was 1948.

How many people live in Arkansas 33rd State House District?

Arkansas 33rd State House District has a population of 31,192 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arkansas 33rd State House District?

Median household income in Arkansas 33rd State House District is $57,609 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.

What is the political history of Arkansas 33rd State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 33rd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.