akashic
1876–2024
State House District 28·Arizona

Arizona 28th State House District votes the way the country votes.

One of Arizona's most reliably Republican legislative seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
AZ
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
149,256
2024 ACS

Arizona 28th State House District, Arizona: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1984.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
149,2562024 5-year
Median household income
$89,3002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.6%2024 5-year
Black
5.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1984MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.5%
32,07934,42067,482
D
+2.2%
34,06832,59167,957
R
−2.8%
23,00824,46451,320
R
−10.7%
19,71524,54645,203
R
−10.6%
19,71124,43444,680
R
−14.6%
16,52522,24139,115
R
−10.3%
12,65715,71129,516
R
−2.7%
11,91512,63626,757
R
−8.5%
9,34411,78628,702
R
−31.0%
7,56014,47922,308
R
−44.9%
5,06813,48318,732
R
−40.4%
3,92010,35315,936
R
−27.1%
4,7348,45413,710
R
−42.3%
3,1148,00611,555
R
−27.7%
2,8225,3118,990
R
−7.9%
3,9954,6858,685
R
−18.8%
2,8424,1607,007
R
−26.1%
1,7683,0164,790
R
−21.1%
1,6462,5294,175
D
+4.9%
1,3261,1982,586
D
+12.8%
1,0548141,874
D
+21.4%
1,1477401,901
D
+38.6%
1,0484471,558
D
+30.5%
9364941,449
R
−24.6%
3986581,056
R
−6.0%
300347778
R
−12.4%
289371660
D
+12.9%
250188479
D
+34.4%
8521186
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.4%
English
9.8%
Irish
8.8%
Italian
4.4%
American
4.2%
Polish
2.2%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.1%
2.4%
75–84
2.8%
4.3%
65–74
5.0%
5.7%
55–64
6.0%
6.1%
45–54
6.2%
6.8%
35–44
6.6%
7.5%
25–34
7.2%
4.8%
18–24
4.5%
8.6%
5–17
8.2%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$89,300
State House District 28 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 28$89,300
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.4%
Working age (18–64)9.9%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.0%
speak English only
Spanish19.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.7%
Other Indo-European2.4%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.4%
Other Christian
15.1%
Non-Christian
3.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Baptist
1.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in the rural and exurban stretches south and east of the Phoenix metro, this district has posted double-digit Republican presidential margins consistently, making it among the least competitive seats in the state legislature.

The Democratic margin in Arizona 28th State House District has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $89,300 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 28, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/04028/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 28, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 28, Arizona voted Republican by 3.5 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 67,482 votes cast, 32,079 went Democratic and 34,420 went Republican.
What is State House District 28, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 28, Arizona as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 28, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 28, Arizona voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State House District 28, Arizona?
State House District 28, Arizona has a population of 149,256 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 28, Arizona?
Median household income in State House District 28, Arizona is $89,300 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of State House District 28, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 28, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.