- Lead
- 12,187
- Total
- 108,525
- vs nation
- R+9.8
Arizona 27th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,044
- Total
- 115,188
- vs nation
- R+12.3
- Lead
- 12,984
- Total
- 91,773
- vs nation
- R+16.2
- Lead
- 18,274
- Total
- 81,578
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Lead
- 18,058
- Total
- 81,281
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Lead
- 18,567
- Total
- 70,966
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Lead
- 11,697
- Total
- 53,327
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Lead
- 6,615
- Total
- 48,013
- vs nation
- R+22.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 240,6342024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,085 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 58.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,6632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.8 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 2, AZ · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Arizona 27th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
60.8%
1,765 votes · D+25.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 56.7%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
76.4%
26,848 votes · R+53.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 73.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
52,062votes
45.2% of the vote · R+7.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 47,172 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
61,106votes
53.0% of the vote · R+7.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 59,359 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+3.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.2 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +1.0 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+42.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+19.8 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +39.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+11.3, against R+22.2 in 2008. The district had about 29,300 residents, 58.6% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 53.8 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.
A population of 240,634, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,663 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 2 and State House District 29.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arizona 27th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/04027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.